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When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-17 Manan Vyas , T. Guhr , T. H. Seligman

Repeated application of machine-learning, eigen-centric methods to an evolving dataset reveals that eigenvectors calculated by well-established computer implementations are not stable along an evolving sequence. This is because the sign of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Jay Damask

In the wild, we often encounter collections of sequential data such as electrocardiograms, motion capture, genomes, and natural language, and sequences may be multichannel or symbolic with nonlinear dynamics. We introduce a new method to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Jonathan Y. Zhou , Yao Xie

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are a widely used tool for modelling multivariate time-series. It is common to assume a VAR is stationary; this can be enforced by imposing the stationarity condition which restricts the parameter space of the…

This paper provides a general identification approach for a wide range of nonlinear panel data models, including binary choice, ordered response, and other types of limited dependent variable models. Our approach accommodates dynamic models…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Wayne Yuan Gao , Rui Wang

In stationary subspace analysis (SSA) one assumes that the observable p-variate time series is a linear mixture of a k-variate nonstationary time series and a (p-k)-variate stationary time series. The aim is then to estimate the unmixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-15 Lea Flumian , Markus Matilainen , Klaus Nordhausen , Sara Taskinen

Modeling matrix-valued time series is an interesting and important research topic. In this paper, we extend the method of Chang et al. (2017) to matrix-valued time series. For any given $p\times q$ matrix-valued time series, we look for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-11 Zhaoxing Gao

This paper is concerned with the interplay between statistical asymmetry and spectral methods. Suppose we are interested in estimating a rank-1 and symmetric matrix $\mathbf{M}^{\star}\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$, yet only a randomly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Yuxin Chen , Chen Cheng , Jianqing Fan

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-26 Li Wang , Lan Xue , Annie Qu , Hua Liang

This paper deals with the problem of parameter estimation based on certain eigenspaces of the empirical covariance matrix of an observed multidimensional time series, in the case where the time series dimension and the observation window…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Walid Hachem , Philippe Loubaton , X. Mestre , Jamal Najim , Pascal Vallet

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

The problem of estimating missing fragments of curves from a functional sample has been widely considered in the literature. However, a majority of the reconstruction methods rely on estimating the covariance matrix or the components of its…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez , Hanlin Shang

We develop a statistical testing procedure to examine whether the curve-valued time series of interest is integrated of order d for an integer d. The proposed procedure can distinguish between integer-integrated time series and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Won-Ki Seo , Han Lin Shang

Independent or i.i.d. innovations is an essential assumption in the literature for analyzing a vector time series. However, this assumption is either too restrictive for a real-life time series to satisfy or is hard to verify through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Yunyi Zhang

The method of cointegration in regression analysis is based on an assumption of stationary increments. Stationary increments with fixed time lag are called integration I(d). A class of regression models where cointegration works was…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Joseph L. McCauley , Kevin E. Bassler , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

With their ability to handle an increased amount of information, multivariate and multichannel signals can be used to solve problems normally not solvable with signals obtained from a single source. One such problem is the decomposition…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Ljubisa Stankovic , Milos Brajovic , Milos Dakovic , Danilo Mandic

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

We present a novel and comparative analysis of finite element discretizations for a nonlinear Rosenau-Burgers model including a biharmonic term. We analyze both continuous and mixed finite element approaches, providing stability, existence,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Ankur , Ram Jiwari , Akil Narayan

The estimation of periodicity is a fundamental task in many scientific areas of study. Existing methods rely on theoretical assumptions that the observation times have equal or i.i.d. spacings, and that common estimators, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-01 Panos Toulis , Jacob Bean

In this study, we focus on identifying solution and an unknown space-dependent coefficient in a space-time fractional differential equation by employing fractional Taylor series method. The substantial advantage of this method is that we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Mine Aylin Bayrak , Ali Demir