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This paper introduces an approach for detecting differences in the first-order structures of spatial point patterns. The proposed approach leverages the kernel mean embedding in a novel way by introducing its approximate version tailored to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Raif M. Rustamov , James T. Klosowski

Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

We develop a novel procedure for constructing confidence bands for components of a sparse additive model. Our procedure is based on a new kernel-sieve hybrid estimator that combines two most popular nonparametric estimation methods in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-14 Junwei Lu , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

We describe a data-efficient, kernel-based approach to statistical testing of conditional independence. A major challenge of conditional independence testing is to obtain the correct test level (the specified upper bound on the rate of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Roman Pogodin , Antonin Schrab , Yazhe Li , Danica J. Sutherland , Arthur Gretton

This paper presents a new robust data-driven predictive control scheme for unknown linear time-invariant systems by using input-state-output or input-output data based on whether the state is measurable. To remove the need for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-17 Kaijian Hu , Tao Liu

We present a systematic framework for shortening and automating molecular dynamics equilibration through improved position initialization methods and uncertainty quantification analysis, using the Yukawa one-component plasma as an exemplar…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Luciano G. Silvestri , Zachary A. Johnson , Michael S. Murillo

This paper presents a kernelized offset-free data-driven predictive control scheme for nonlinear systems. Traditional model-based and data-driven predictive controllers often struggle with inaccurate predictors or persistent disturbances,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Thomas Oliver de Jong , Mircea Lazar

This paper presents a method for building a preconditioner for a kernel ridge regression problem, where the preconditioner is not only effective in its ability to reduce the condition number substantially, but also efficient in its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-07 Gil Shabat , Era Choshen , Dvir Ben Or , Nadav Carmel

Consider a situation where a new patient arrives in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and is monitored by multiple sensors. We wish to assess relevant unmeasured physiological variables (e.g., cardiac contractility and output and vascular…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Ron Teichner , Ron Meir , Danny Eitan

Data-driven control algorithms use observations of system dynamics to construct an implicit model for the purpose of control. However, in practice, data-driven techniques often require excessive sample sizes, which may be infeasible in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-10 Adam J. Thorpe , Cyrus Neary , Franck Djeumou , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Ufuk Topcu

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

Vine copulas (or pair-copula constructions) have become an important tool for high-dimensional dependence modeling. Typically, so called simplified vine copula models are estimated where bivariate conditional copulas are approximated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-19 Christian Schellhase , Fabian Spanhel

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), synthetic likelihood, and neural posterior estimation (NPE) rely on simulating statistics to infer parameters of intractable likelihood models.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Daolang Huang , Ayush Bharti , Amauri Souza , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

This Element offers a practical guide to estimating conditional marginal effects-how treatment effects vary with a moderating variable-using modern statistical methods. Commonly used approaches, such as linear interaction models, often…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Jiehan Liu , Ziyi Liu , Yiqing Xu

Simulation-based Bayesian inference (SBI) methods are widely used for parameter estimation in complex models where evaluating the likelihood is challenging but generating simulations is relatively straightforward. However, these methods…

Many problems arising in control require the determination of a mathematical model of the application. This has often to be performed starting from input-output data, leading to a task known as system identification in the engineering…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-01 Wenqi Cao , Gianluigi Pillonetto

In the last years, the success of kernel-based regularisation techniques in solving impulse response modelling tasks has revived the interest on linear system identification. In this work, an alternative perspective on the same problem is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Anna Marconato , Maarten Schoukens , Johan Schoukens

This paper presents a new perspective on the identification at infinity for the intercept of the sample selection model as identification at the boundary via a transformation of the selection index. This perspective suggests generalizations…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-13 Zhewen Pan

We introduce a method to estimate the initial conditions of a mutivariable dynamical system from a scalar signal. The method is based on a modified multidimensional Newton-Raphson method which includes the time evolution of the system. The…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar