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We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

A characteristic of existing predictive process monitoring techniques is to first construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Williams Rizzi , Cosimo Damiano Persia

Motivated by applications, we consider here new operator theoretic approaches to Conditional mean embeddings (CME). Our present results combine a spectral analysis-based optimization scheme with the use of kernels, stochastic processes, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Palle E. T. Jorgensen , Myung-Sin Song , James Tian

Regularized least-squares approaches have been successfully applied to linear system identification. Recent approaches use quadratic penalty terms on the unknown impulse response defined by stable spline kernels, which control model space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-27 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

There are many advantages to use probability method for nonlinear system identification, such as the noises and outliers in the data set do not affect the probability models significantly; the input features can be extracted in probability…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Erick de la Rosa , Wen Yu

We develop a new approximative estimation method for conditional Shapley values obtained using a linear regression model. We develop a new estimation method and outperform existing methodology and implementations. Compared to the sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-28 Fredrik Lohne Aanes

Kernel approximation methods create explicit, low-dimensional kernel feature maps to deal with the high computational and memory complexity of standard techniques. This work studies a supervised kernel learning methodology to optimize such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Mert Al , Zejiang Hou , Sun-Yuan Kung

The identification of continuous-time (CT) systems from discrete-time (DT) input and output signals, i.e., the sampled data, has received considerable attention for half a century. The state-of-the-art methods are parametric methods and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Xiaozhu Fang , Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen

The kernel-based regularization method has two core issues: kernel design and hyperparameter estimation. In this paper, we focus on the second issue and study the properties of several hyperparameter estimators including the empirical Bayes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-04 Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen , Lennart Ljung

Conditional probabilities are a core concept in machine learning. For example, optimal prediction of a label $Y$ given an input $X$ corresponds to maximizing the conditional probability of $Y$ given $X$. A common approach to inference tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Yoav Wald , Amir Globerson

Many complex cyber-physical systems can be modeled as heterogeneous components interacting with each other in real-time. We assume that the correctness of each component can be specified as a requirement satisfied by the output signals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Sara Mohammadinejad , Jyotirmoy V. Deshmukh , Aniruddh G. Puranic

Kernel methods are widely used in machine learning, especially for classification problems. However, the theoretical analysis of kernel classification is still limited. This paper investigates the statistical performances of kernel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Jianfa Lai , Zhifan Li , Dongming Huang , Qian Lin

A variety of algorithms have been proposed to address the power system state estimation problem in the presence of uncertainties in the data. However, less emphasis has been given to handling perturbations in the model. In the context of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-21 Ayan Das , Anushka Sharma , Anamitra Pal

Non-linear systems of differential equations have attracted the interest in fields like system biology, ecology or biochemistry, due to their flexibility and their ability to describe dynamical systems. Despite the importance of such models…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 Javier González , Ivan Vujačić , Ernst Wit

A priori error bounds have been derived for different balancing-related model reduction methods. The most classical result is a bound for balanced truncation and singular perturbation approximation that is applicable for asymptotically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Björn Liljegren-Sailer

For data-driven iterative learning control (ILC) methods, both the model estimation and controller design problems are converted to parameter estimation problems for some chosen model structures. It is well-known that if the model order is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-08 Xian Yu , Xiaozhu Fang , Biqiang Mu , Tianshi Chen

We propose statistical inferential procedures for panel data models with interactive fixed effects in a kernel ridge regression framework.Compared with traditional sieve methods, our method is automatic in the sense that it does not require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-10 Shunan Zhao , Ruiqi Liu , Zuofeng Shang

We develop an interpolation-based framework for noisy linear systems with unknown system matrix with bounded norm (implying bounded growth or non-increasing energy), and bounded process noise energy. The proposed approach characterizes all…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-17 Martina Vanelli , Nima Monshizadeh , Julien M. Hendrickx

We study some of the most commonly used mutual information estimators, based on histograms of fixed or adaptive bin size, $k$-nearest neighbors and kernels, and focus on optimal selection of their free parameters. We examine the consistency…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Angeliki Papana , Dimitris Kugiumtzis

Control and state estimation procedures need to be robust against imprecisely known parameters, uncertainty in initial conditions, and external disturbances. Interval methods and other set-based techniques form the basis for the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Andreas Rauh , Marit Lahme , Simon Rohou , Luc Jaulin , Thach Ngoc Dinh , Tarek Raissi , Mohamed Fnadi