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We study the probability distribution of the maximum $M_S $ of a smooth stationary Gaussian field defined on a fractal subset $S$ of $\R^n$. Our main result is the equivalent of the asymptotic behavior of the tail of the distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-20 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Mario Wschebor

We reconsider a classical, well-studied problem from applied probability. This is the max-sum equivalence of randomly weighted sums, and the originality is because we manage to include interdependence among the primary random variables, as…

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem, is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bi-variate set…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We prove tail estimates for variables $\sum_i f(X_i)$, where $(X_i)_i$ is the trajectory of a random walk on an undirected graph (or, equivalently, a reversible Markov chain). The estimates are in terms of the maximum of the function $f$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-25 Roy Wagner

In this contribution we are concerned with the asymptotic behaviour as $u\to \infty$ of $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in [0,T]} X_u(t)> u\}$, where $X_u(t),t\in [0,T],u>0$ is a family of centered Gaussian processes with continuous trajectories. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 L. Bai , K. Debicki , E. Hashorva , L. Ji

In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

Consider a centered smooth Gaussian random field $\{X(t), t\in T \}$ with a general (nonconstant) variance function. In this work, we demonstrate that as $u \to \infty$, the excursion probability $\mathbb{P}\{\sup_{t\in T} X(t) \geq u\}$…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Dan Cheng

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent centered stationary Gaussian processes with unit variance and almost surely continuous sample paths. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of conjunctions $C_{[0,T],u}:=\{t\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Kamil Tabis

In this paper we are concerned with a sample of asymptotically independent risks. Tail asymptotic probabilities for linear combinations of randomly weighted order statistics are approximated under various assumptions, where the individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Alexandru V. Asimit , Enkelejd Hashorva , Dominik Kortschak

Let $X(t)=(X_1(t), \dots, X_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T}\subset \mathbb{R} $ be a centered vector-valued Gaussian process with independent components and continuous trajectories, and $h(t)=(h_1(t),\dots, h_n(t)), t\in \mathcal{T} $ be a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Long Bai , Krzysztof Debicki , Peng Liu

Let X be a generalised symmetrised Dirichlet random vector in R^k, and let u_n be thresholds such that P{X> u_n} tends to 0 as n goes infinity. In this paper we derive an exact asymptotic expansion of P{X> u_n} assuming that the associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-20 Enkelejd Hashorva

We study the tail behavior of the distribution of the sum of asymptotically independent risks whose marginal distributions belong to the maximal domain of attraction of the Gumbel distribution. We impose conditions on the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Abhimanyu Mitra , Sidney I. Resnick

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

In this paper, we derive higher-order expansions of $L$-statistics of independent risks $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ under conditions on the underlying distribution function $F$. The new results are applied to derive the asymptotic expansions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-08 E. Hashorva , C. Ling , Z. Peng

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a stationary process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For given positive constants $u,T$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $ C_{r,T,u}:= \{t\in [0,T]: X_{r:n}(t) > u\}$ with $X_{r:n}(t)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Chengxiu Ling

Motivated by a bidimensional discrete-time risk model in insurance, we study the second-order asymptotics for two kinds of tail probabilities of the stochastic discounted value of aggregate net losses including two business lines. These are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Shijie Wang

This paper develops asymptotic approximations of $P(\int_Te^{f(t)}\,dt>b)$ as $b\rightarrow\infty$ for a homogeneous smooth Gaussian random field, $f$, living on a compact $d$-dimensional Jordan measurable set $T$. The integral of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Jingchen Liu

Let \{X_1, X_2, ...\} be a sequence of independent and identically distributed positive random variables of Pareto-type with index \alpha>0 and let \{N(t); t\geq 0\} be a counting process independent of the X_i's. For any fixed t\geq 0,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S. A. Ladoucette , J. L. Teugels

Let $X=\{X(t),t\in {\mathbb{R}}^N\}$ be a centered Gaussian random field with stationary increments and $X(0)=0$. For any compact rectangle $T\subset {\mathbb{R}}^N$ and $u\in {\mathbb{R}}$, denote by $A_u=\{t\in T:X(t)\geq u\}$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-05 Dan Cheng , Yimin Xiao