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The natural habitat of most Bayesian methods is data represented by exchangeable sequences of observations, for which de Finetti's theorem provides the theoretical foundation. Dirichlet process clustering, Gaussian process regression, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Peter Orbanz , Daniel M. Roy

Random simplicial complexes, as generalizations of random graphs, have become increasingly popular in the literature in recent years. In this paper, we consider a new model for a random simplicial complex that was introduced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Dominik Pabst

When inferring the goals that others are trying to achieve, people intuitively understand that others might make mistakes along the way. This is crucial for activities such as teaching, offering assistance, and deciding between blame or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Arwa Alanqary , Gloria Z. Lin , Joie Le , Tan Zhi-Xuan , Vikash K. Mansinghka , Joshua B. Tenenbaum

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick

Deterministic auctions are attractive in practice due to their transparency, simplicity, and ease of implementation, motivating a sharper understanding of when they can attain the same outcomes as randomized mechanisms. We study…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Yan Liu , Zeyu Ren , Pingzhong Tang , Zihe Wang , Yulong Zeng , Jie Zhang

We study a classic Bayesian mechanism design setting of monopoly problem for an additive buyer in the presence of budgets. In this setting a monopolist seller with $m$ heterogeneous items faces a single buyer and seeks to maximize her…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Yu Cheng , Nick Gravin , Kamesh Munagala , Kangning Wang

Designing fair algorithmic decision systems requires balancing model performance with fairness toward affected individuals: More fairness might require sacrificing some performance and vice versa, yet the space of possible trade-offs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Mieke Wilms , Christoph Heitz

Under certain mild conditions, limit theorems for additive functionals of some $d$-dimensional self-similar Gaussian processes are obtained. These limit theorems work for general Gaussian processes including fractional Brownian motions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Minhao Hong , Heguang Liu , Fangjun Xu

Bruss's odds theorem \cite{Bruss1} addresses the problem of determining the optimal stopping time for sequences of independent indicator functions. In this note, we derive upper and lower bounds for the success probability under the optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 A. M. Kabaeva , A. V. Logachov , A. A. Yambartsev

The potential applications of boundary functionals of random processes, such as the extreme values of these processes, the moment of first reaching a fixed level, the value of the process at the moment of reaching the level, the moment of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-15 V. V. Ryazanov

We consider repeated allocation of a shared resource via a non-monetary mechanism, wherein a single item must be allocated to one of multiple agents in each round. We assume that each agent has i.i.d. values for the item across rounds, and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-07 David X. Lin , Siddhartha Banerjee , Giannis Fikioris , Éva Tardos

We investigate the implementation of reduced-form allocation probabilities in a two-person bargaining problem without side payments, where the agents have to select one alternative from a finite set of social alternatives. We provide a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-02-23 Xu Lang

This paper develops upper and lower bounds for the probability of Boolean functions by treating multiple occurrences of variables as independent and assigning them new individual probabilities. We call this approach dissociation and give an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer , Dan Suciu

We are often interested in identifying the feasible subset of a decision space under multiple constraints to permit effective design exploration. If determining feasibility required computationally expensive simulations, the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Alma Rahat , Michael Wood

We provide algorithms that learn simple auctions whose revenue is approximately optimal in multi-item multi-bidder settings, for a wide range of valuations including unit-demand, additive, constrained additive, XOS, and subadditive. We…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-04 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis

Bayesian optimisation has proven to be a powerful tool for expensive global black-box optimisation problems. In this paper, we propose new Bayesian optimisation variants of the popular Knowledge Gradient acquisition functions for problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Xietao Wang Lin , Juan Ungredda , Max Butler , James Town , Alma Rahat , Hemant Singh , Juergen Branke

We obtain a series of results in the global theory of free boundary minimal surfaces, which in particular provide a rather complete picture for the way different complexity criteria, such as area, topology and Morse index compare, beyond…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Alessandro Carlotto , Giada Franz

Bayesian optimization has been successfully applied to optimize black-box functions where the number of evaluations is severely limited. However, in many real-world applications, it is hard or impossible to know in advance which designs are…

In this paper the problem of learning appropriate bias for an environment of related tasks is examined from a Bayesian perspective. The environment of related tasks is shown to be naturally modelled by the concept of an {\em objective}…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Jonathan Baxter

Border complexity captures functions that can be approximated by low-complexity ones. Debordering is the task of proving an upper bound on some non-border complexity measure in terms of a border complexity measure, thus getting rid of…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Pranjal Dutta , Vladimir Lysikov