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We consider a statistical problem of detection of a signal with unknown energy in a multi-channel system, observed in a Gaussian noise. We assume that the signal can appear in the $k$-th channel with a known small prior probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Evgeny Burnaev , Georgy Golubev

Heterogeneous data are now ubiquitous in many applications in which correctly identifying the subgroups from a heterogeneous population is critical. Although there is an increasing body of literature on subgroup detection, existing methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-09 Jie Wu , Bo Zhang , Daoji Li , Zemin Zheng

In this note, we study the relationship between the variational gap and the variance of the (log) likelihood ratio. We show that the gap can be upper bounded by some form of dispersion measure of the likelihood ratio, which suggests the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Chin-Wei Huang , Aaron Courville

The problem of sequentially detecting a moving anomaly which affects different parts of a sensor network with time is studied. Each network sensor is characterized by a non-anomalous and anomalous distribution, governing the generation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Georgios Rovatsos , George V. Moustakides , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The aim of this paper is to establish non-asymptotic minimax rates of testing for goodness-of-fit hypotheses in a heteroscedastic setting. More precisely, we deal with sequences $(Y_j)_{j\in J}$ of independent Gaussian random variables,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Béatrice Laurent , Jean-Michel Loubès , Clément Marteau

New problems arise when the standard theory of joint detection and estimation is applied to a set of signals drawn from a continuous family; decision thresholds must be determined as a function of the continuous parameter x characterizing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-17 D. Michael Milder , Robert G. Lindgren , Morris M. Berman

Statistical inference for high-dimensional regression heteroskedasticity is an important but under-explored problem. The current paper aims at filling this gap by proposing two tests, namely the variance difference test and the variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Chi Chien-Ming

The problem of detecting correlations from samples of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector has recently received a lot of attention. In most existing work, detection procedures are provided with a full sample. However, following common wisdom…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Rui M. Castro , Gabor Lugosi , Pierre-André Savalle

Minimax detection of Gaussian stochastic sequences (signals) with unknown covariance matrices is studied. For a fixed false alarm probability (1-st kind error probability), the performance of the minimax detection is being characterized by…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-14 M. V. Burnashev

Many time series exhibit changes both in level and in variability. Generally, it is more important to detect a change in the level, and changing or smoothly evolving variability can confound existing tests. This paper develops a framework…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-09 Tomasz Gorecki , Lajos Horvath , Piotr Kokoszka

We consider the problem of detecting a `bump' in the intensity of a Poisson process or in a density. We analyze two types of likelihood ratio based statistics which allow for exact finite sample inference and asymptotically optimal…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-26 Camilo Rivera , Guenther Walther

We study the effect of reward variance heterogeneity in the approximate top-$m$ arm identification setting. In this setting, the reward for the $i$-th arm follows a $\sigma^2_i$-sub-Gaussian distribution, and the agent needs to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Ruida Zhou , Chao Tian

We consider the equivalent problems of estimating the residual variance, the proportion of explained variance $\eta$ and the signal strength in a high-dimensional linear regression model with Gaussian random design. Our aim is to understand…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Nicolas Verzelen , Elisabeth Gassiat

Data driven modelling is vital to many analyses at collider experiments, however the derived inference of physical properties becomes subject to details of the model fitting procedure. This work brings a principled Bayesian picture, based…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-05-23 David Yallup , Will Handley

We study the problem of detecting the presence of a single unknown spike in a rectangular data matrix, in a high-dimensional regime where the spike has fixed strength and the aspect ratio of the matrix converges to a finite limit. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Ahmed El Alaoui , Michael I. Jordan

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

Bayesian likelihood-free methods implement Bayesian inference using simulation of data from the model to substitute for intractable likelihood evaluations. Most likelihood-free inference methods replace the full data set with a summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Yinan Mao , Xueou Wang , David J. Nott , Michael Evans

Gaussian graphical models emerge in a wide range of fields. They model the statistical relationships between variables as a graph, where an edge between two variables indicates conditional dependence. Unfortunately, well-established…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-19 Taulant Koka , Jasin Machkour , Michael Muma

We present an efficient algorithm to compute tight upper bounds of collision probability between two objects with positional uncertainties, whose error distributions are represented with non-Gaussian forms. Our approach can handle noisy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jae Sung Park , Dinesh Manocha

How to estimate heterogeneity, e.g. the effect of some variable differing across observations, is a key question in political science. Methods for doing so make simplifying assumptions about the underlying nature of the heterogeneity to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-31 Max Goplerud