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Standard Bayesian approaches for linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification are hindered by parameter non-identifiability; the resulting complex, multi-modal posteriors make inference inefficient and impractical. We solve this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-29 Andrey Bryutkin , Matthew E. Levine , Iñigo Urteaga , Youssef Marzouk

Gaussian processes have become a popular tool for nonparametric regression because of their flexibility and uncertainty quantification. However, they often use stationary kernels, which limit the expressiveness of the model and may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Zachary James , Joseph Guinness

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Johan Wågberg , Fredrik Lindsten , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

A recent technology breakthrough in spatial molecular profiling has enabled the comprehensive molecular characterizations of single cells while preserving spatial information. It provides new opportunities to delineate how cells from…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-07 Xi Jiang , Qiwei Li , Guanghua Xiao

Solving nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) using kernel methods offers a compelling alternative to traditional numerical solvers. However, the performance of these methods strongly depends on the choice of kernel. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fatima-Zahrae El-Boukkouri , Josselin Garnier , Olivier Roustant

Partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs) have been shown to perform competitively with fully Bayesian neural networks while only having a subset of the parameters be stochastic. Using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers as the inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell , Zheng Zhao

Motivation: A branching processes model yields an unevenly stochastically distributed dataset that consists of sparse and dense regions. This work addresses the problem of precisely evaluating parameters for such a model. Applying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-09 Iurii S. Nagornov

We introduce the quantum Gaussian process state, motivated via a statistical inference for the wave function supported by a data set of unentangled product states. We show that this condenses down to a compact and expressive parametric…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2022-08-01 Yannic Rath , George H. Booth

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) offer a principled and natural framework for proper uncertainty quantification in the context of deep learning. They address the typical challenges associated with conventional deep learning methods, such as…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-13 Zahra Moslemi , Yang Meng , Shiwei Lan , Babak Shahbaba

We develop an exact and scalable algorithm for one-dimensional Gaussian process regression with Mat\'ern correlations whose smoothness parameter $\nu$ is a half-integer. The proposed algorithm only requires $\mathcal{O}(\nu^3 n)$ operations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-11 Haoyuan Chen , Liang Ding , Rui Tuo

We introduce a new class of nonstationary kernels, which we derive as covariance functions of a novel family of stochastic processes we refer to as string Gaussian processes (string GPs). We construct string GPs to allow for multiple types…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-09 Yves-Laurent Kom Samo , Stephen Roberts

For a parameter-unknown linear descriptor system, this paper proposes data-driven methods to testify the system's type and controllability and then to stabilize it. First, a data-based condition is developed to identify whether this unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Jiabao He , Xuan Zhang , Feng Xu , Junbo Tan , Xueqian Wang

Nonlinear Bayesian update for a prior ensemble is proposed to extend traditional ensemble Kalman filtering to settings characterized by non-Gaussian priors and nonlinear measurement operators. In this framework, the observed component is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 Yoonsang Lee

We develop an efficient Bayesian sequential inference framework for factor analysis models observed via various data types, such as continuous, binary and ordinal data. In the continuous data case, where it is possible to marginalise over…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-28 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Irini Moustaki

We consider a Gaussian process formulation of the multiple kernel learning problem. The goal is to select the convex combination of kernel matrices that best explains the data and by doing so improve the generalisation on unseen data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-10-25 Cedric Archambeau , Francis Bach

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) over graphs arises in a number of safety-critical applications in network science. The Gaussian process (GP), as a classical Bayesian framework for UQ, has been developed to handle graph-structured data by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Jinwen Xu , Qin Lu , Georgios B. Giannakis

P-splines provide a flexible setting for modeling nonlinear model components based on a discretized penalty structure with a relatively simple computational backbone. Under a Bayesian inferential framework based on Markov chain Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Oswaldo Gressani , Paul H. C. Eilers

Gaussian process regression is a classical kernel method for function estimation and data interpolation. In large data applications, computational costs can be reduced using low-rank or sparse approximations of the kernel. This paper…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-04 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

Advances in digital sensors, digital data storage and communications have resulted in systems being capable of accumulating large collections of data. In the light of dealing with the challenges that massive data present, this work proposes…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-09 Allan De Freitas , François Septier , Lyudmila Mihaylova

In this paper, we introduce an adaptive kernel method for solving the optimal filtering problem. The computational framework that we adopt is the Bayesian filter, in which we recursively generate an optimal estimate for the state of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Zezhong Zhang , Richard Archibald , Feng Bao
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