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The lead-lag relationship plays a vital role in financial markets. It is the phenomenon where a certain price-series lags behind and partially replicates the movement of leading time-series. The present research proposes a new technique…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Kartikay Gupta , Niladri Chatterjee

Lead-lag relationships among assets represent a useful tool for analyzing high frequency financial data. However, research on these relationships predominantly focuses on correlation analyses for the dynamics of stock prices, spots and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

The lead-lag effect, where the price movement of one asset systematically precedes that of another, has been widely observed in financial markets and conveys valuable predictive signals for trading. However, traditional lead-lag detection…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Wanyun Zhou , Saizhuo Wang , Mihai Cucuringu , Zihao Zhang , Xiang Li , Jian Guo , Chao Zhang , Xiaowen Chu

Lead/lag relationships are an important stylized fact at high frequency. Some assets follow the path of others with a small time lag. We provide indicators to measure this phenomenon using tick-by-tick data. Strongly asymmetric…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-01-19 Nicolas Huth , Frédéric Abergel

Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Paweł Fiedor

We propose a novel two-stage framework to detect lead-lag relationships in the Chinese A-share market. First, long-term coupling between stocks is measured via daily data using correlation, dynamic time warping, and rank-based metrics.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-25 Jianyong Fang , Sitong Wu , Junfan Tong

According to the leading models in modern finance, the presence of intraday lead-lag relationships between financial assets is negligible in efficient markets. With the advance of technology, however, markets have become more sophisticated.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-03 Chester Curme , Michele Tumminello , Rosario N. Mantegna , H. Eugene Stanley , Dror Y. Kenett

This paper introduces a new theoretical framework for analyzing lead-lag relationships between point processes, with a special focus on applications to high-frequency financial data. In particular, we are interested in lead-lag…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Takaaki Shiotani , Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Pairs Trading is carried out in the financial market to earn huge profits from known equilibrium relation between pairs of stock. In financial markets, seldom it is seen that stock pairs are correlated at particular lead or lag. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-24 Kartikay Gupta , Niladri Chatterjee

We define data-driven macroeconomic regimes by clustering the relative performance in time of indices belonging to different asset classes. We then investigate lead-lag relationships within the regimes identified. Our study unravels market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Deborah Miori , Mihai Cucuringu

The existence of time-lagged cross-correlations between the returns of a pair of assets, which is known as the lead-lag relationship, is a well-known stylized fact in financial econometrics. Recently some continuous-time models have been…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-29 Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

Lead-lag relationships, integral to market dynamics, offer valuable insights into the trading behavior of high-frequency traders (HFTs) and the flow of information at a granular level. This paper investigates the lead-lag relationships…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-07 Guanlin Li , Xiyan Chen , Yingzheng Liu

We employ the thermal optimal path method to explore both the long-term and short-term interaction patterns between the onshore CNY and offshore CNH exchange rates (2012-2015). For the daily data, the CNY and CNH exchange rates show a weak…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Hai-Chuan Xu , Wei-Xing Zhou , Didier Sornette

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

In time-series analysis, the term "lead-lag effect" is used to describe a delayed effect on a given time series caused by another time series. lead-lag effects are ubiquitous in practice and are specifically critical in formulating…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-04 Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

As is widely known, the stock market is a complex system in which a multitude of factors influence the performance of individual stocks and the market as a whole. One method for comprehending -- and potentially predicting -- stock market…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-19 Aarush Pratik Sheth , Jonah Riley Weinbaum , Kevin Javier Zvonarek

We propose a novel estimation procedure for scale-by-scale lead-lag relationships of financial assets observed at high-frequency in a non-synchronous manner. The proposed estimation procedure does not require any interpolation processing of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Takaki Hayashi , Yuta Koike

In our previous study we have presented an approach to studying lead--lag effect in financial markets using information and network theories. Methodology presented there, as well as previous studies using Pearson's correlation for the same…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-21 Paweł Fiedor

We introduce a framework to infer lead-lag networks between the states of elements of complex systems, determined at different timescales. As such networks encode the causal structure of a system, infering lead-lag networks for many pairs…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-08 Marcus Cordi , Damien Challet , Serge Kassibrakis

We introduce a method to infer lead-lag networks of agents' actions in complex systems. These networks open the way to both microscopic and macroscopic states prediction in such systems. We apply this method to trader-resolved data in the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-27 Damien Challet , Rémy Chicheportiche , Mehdi Lallouache , Serge Kassibrakis
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