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Related papers: Uncertainty Sets For Wind Power Generation

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The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

This paper introduces a new approach to quantify the impact of forward propagated demand and weather uncertainty on power system planning and operation models. Recent studies indicate that such sampling uncertainty, originating from demand…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-17 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

Generation expansion planning has become a complex problem within a deregulated electricity market environment due to all the uncertainties affecting the profitability of a given investment. Current expansion models usually overlook some of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Salvador Pineda , Juan M. Morales , Yi Ding , Jacob Oestegaard

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

This paper analyzes the impact of parametric uncertainties on the dynamics of bistable energy harvesters, focusing on obtaining statistical information about how each parameter's variability affects the energy harvesting process. To model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-18 João Pedro Norenberg , Americo Cunha , Samuel da Silva , Paulo Sergio Varoto

Optimization models have been broadly used within side the energy industry as useful decision-making systems for scheduling and dispatching electric powered energy resources; this is applied in a system called unit commitment (UC). Unit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-01 Angel Zambrano

To address the environmental concern and improve the economic efficiency, the wind power is rapidly integrated into smart grids. However, the inherent uncertainty of wind energy raises operational challenges. To ensure the cost-efficient,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-10 Wei Xie , Yuan Yi , Zhi Zhou , Keqi Wang

Power systems are getting more complex than ever and are consequently operating close to their limit of stability. Moreover, with the increasing demand of renewable wind generation, and the requirement to maintain a secure power system, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Umair Shahzad

In this paper, we suggest that reserves must be computed dynamically to account for wind power volatility. We formalize the notion of dynamic reserves in support of sequential Day-Ahead-Market (DAM) and Real-Time-Market (RTM) clearing and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-21 Marija Ilic , Dongwei Zhao

Electricity systems are experiencing increased effects of randomness and variability due to emerging stochastic assets. The increased effects introduce new uncertainties into power systems that can impact system operability and reliability.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Naeem Turner-Bandele , Amritanshu Pandey , Larry Pileggi

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

Renewable energy generation is of utmost importance for global decarbonization. Forecasting renewable energies, particularly wind energy, is challenging due to the inherent uncertainty in wind energy generation, which depends on weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Lucas English , Mahdi Abolghasemi

The widespread uncertainties have made the interaction between wind power and power grid more complicated and difficult to model and handle. This paper proposes an approach for the solution of unit commitment (UC) problem incorporating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-06 Fang Zhai , Libao Shi

Wind generation is traditionally treated as a non-dispatchable resource and is fully absorbed unless there are security issues. To tackle the operational reliability issues caused by the volatile and non-dispatchable wind generation, many…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Cheng Wang , Feng Liu , Feng Qiu , Wei Wei , Jianhui Wang , Shengwei Mei

Photovoltaic systems have been widely deployed in recent times to meet the increased electricity demand as an environmental-friendly energy source. The major challenge for integrating photovoltaic systems in power systems is the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-13 Reza Zafarani , Sara Eftekharnejad , Urvi Patel

The rapid uptake of renewable energy technologies in recent decades has increased the demand of energy researchers, policymakers and energy planners for reliable data on the spatial distribution of their costs and potentials. For onshore…

We study the optimal trading policies for a wind energy producer who aims to sell the future production in the open forward, spot, intraday and adjustment markets, and who has access to imperfect dynamically updated forecasts of the future…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Zongjun Tan , Peter Tankov

Disputes over cost allocation can present a significant barrier to investment in shared infrastructure. While it may be desirable to allocate cost in a way that corresponds to expected benefits, investments in long-lived projects are made…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Han Shu , Jacob Mays

Energy-harvesting systems in complex flow environments, such as floating offshore wind turbines, tidal turbines, and ground-fixed turbines in axial gusts, encounter unsteady streamwise flow conditions that affect their power generation and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-07-19 Nathaniel J. Wei , John O. Dabiri

In order to protect the environment and address fossil fuel scarcity, renewable energy is increasingly used for power generation. However, due to the uncertainties it brings to electricity production, deterministic optimization is no longer…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Shuhan Lyu
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