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Machine learning algorithms with empirical risk minimization usually suffer from poor generalization performance due to the greedy exploitation of correlations among the training data, which are not stable under distributional shifts.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Jiashuo Liu , Zheyuan Hu , Peng Cui , Bo Li , Zheyan Shen

We find conditions for the connectivity of inhomogeneous random graphs with intermediate density. Our results generalize the classical result for G(n, p), when p = c log n/n. We draw n independent points X_i from a general distribution on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-25 Luc Devroye , Nicolas Fraiman

The problem of determining the joint probability distributions for correlated random variables with pre-specified marginals is considered. When the joint distribution satisfying all the required conditions is not unique, the "most unbiased"…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Hernán Larralde

Diffusion models are a new class of generative models that revolve around the estimation of the score function associated with a stochastic differential equation. Subsequent to its acquisition, the approximated score function is then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus , Marta Gentiloni Silveri

Weak convergence of joint distributions generally does not imply convergence of conditional distributions. In particular, conditional distributions need not converge when joint Gaussian distributions converge to a singular Gaussian limit.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Sarah Lumpp , Mathias Drton

This paper studies distributional model risk in marginal problems, where each marginal measure is assumed to lie in a Wasserstein ball centered at a fixed reference measure with a given radius. Theoretically, we establish several…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Yanqin Fan , Hyeonseok Park , Gaoqian Xu

We study the minimal gap statistic for sequences of the form $\left( \alpha x_n \right)_{n = 1}^{\infty}$ where $\left( x_n \right)_{n = 1}^{\infty}$ is a sequence of real numbers, and its connection to the additive energy of $\left( x_n…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-24 Shvo Regavim

We consider covariance estimation in the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) and elliptically symmetric (ES) distribution. The maximum likelihood optimization associated with this problem is non-convex, yet it has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Teng Zhang , Ami Wiesel , Maria Sabrina Grec

We study the sparse high-dimensional Gaussian mixture model when the number of clusters is allowed to grow with the sample size. A minimax lower bound for parameter estimation is established, and we show that a constrained maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-26 Dapeng Yao , Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

We study the rate of Bayesian consistency for hierarchical priors consisting of prior weights on a model index set and a prior on a density model for each choice of model index. Ghosal, Lember and Van der Vaart [2] have obtained general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-23 Yang Xing

In this paper we derive lower bounds in minimax sense for estimation of the instantaneous volatility if the diffusion type part cannot be observed directly but under some additional Gaussian noise. Three different models are considered. Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-17 Axel Munk , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

The problem of minimizing convex functionals of probability distributions is solved under the assumption that the density of every distribution is bounded from above and below. A system of sufficient and necessary first-order optimality…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-05 Michael Fauss , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

The mutual information between two jointly distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is a functional of the joint distribution $P_{XY},$ which is sometimes difficult to handle or estimate. A coarser description of the statistical behavior of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Yanjun Han , Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz

We study the convergence properties of the Gibbs Sampler in the context of posterior distributions arising from Bayesian analysis of conditionally Gaussian hierarchical models. We develop a multigrid approach to derive analytic expressions…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-27 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

In this paper we study the threshold model of \emph{geometric inhomogeneous random graphs} (GIRGs); a generative random graph model that is closely related to \emph{hyperbolic random graphs} (HRGs). These models have been observed to…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Thomas Bläsius , Tobias Friedrich , Maximilian Katzmann , Janosch Ruff , Ziena Zeif

Local SGD is a popular optimization method in distributed learning, often outperforming other algorithms in practice, including mini-batch SGD. Despite this success, theoretically proving the dominance of local SGD in settings with…

The purpose of this paper is to pursue our study of rho-estimators built from i.i.d. observations that we defined in Baraud et al. (2014). For a \rho-estimator based on some model S (which means that the estimator belongs to S) and a true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

Models are often defined through conditional rather than joint distributions, but it can be difficult to check whether the conditional distributions are compatible, i.e. whether there exists a joint probability distribution which generates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Joseph Muré

In this work we present a rigorous application of the Expectation Maximization algorithm to determine the marginal distributions and the dependence structure in a Gaussian copula model with missing data. We further show how to circumvent a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-17 Maximilian Kertel , Markus Pauly