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Physical theories must stem from observation. The possibility that perceived events are simulated, not real, raises a crucial dilemma about the credibility of known physics, known as the simulation hypothesis. To analyze this hypothesis in…

General Physics · Physics 2024-01-08 Francesco Sisini

We propose an agent-based model of collective opinion formation to study the wisdom of crowds under social influence. The opinion of an agent is a continuous positive value, denoting its subjective answer to a factual question. The wisdom…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-25 Pavlin Mavrodiev , Frank Schweitzer

As the complexity of AI systems and their interactions with the world increases, generating explanations for their behaviour is important for safely deploying AI. For agents, the most natural abstractions for predicting behaviour attribute…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Alexis Bellot , Jonathan Richens , Tom Everitt

We observe some puzzling linguistic data concerning ordinary knowledge ascriptions that embed an epistemic (im)possibility claim. We conclude that it is untenable to jointly endorse both classical logic and a pair of intuitively attractive…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Peter Hawke

Large language models can consult information that fixed static analyzers cannot, such as documentation, current security advisories, version-specific metadata, and informal API contracts. This makes LLMs a compelling option for program…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jacqueline L. Mitchell , Chao Wang

In this paper, we expand the Bayesian persuasion framework to account for unobserved confounding variables in sender-receiver interactions. While traditional models assume that belief updates follow Bayesian principles, real-world scenarios…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Nishanth Venkatesh S. , Heeseung Bang , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Motivated by the search for forms of distributed belief that do not collapse in the face of conflicting information, this paper introduces the notions of cautious and bold distributed belief. Both notions rely on maximally consistent…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-08-21 John Lindqvist , Fernando R. Velázquez-Quesada , Thomas Ågotnes

We model endogenous perception of private information in single-agent screening problems, with potential evaluation errors. The agent's evaluation of their type depends on their cognitive state: either attentive (i.e., they correctly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-12 Benjamin Balzer , Benjamin Young

Consensus formation is investigated for multi-agent systems in which agents' beliefs are both vague and uncertain. Vagueness is represented by a third truth state meaning \emph{borderline}. This is combined with a probabilistic model of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-01-15 Michael Crosscombe , Jonathan Lawry

Belief fusion is the principle of combining separate beliefs or bodies of evidence originating from different sources. Depending on the situation to be modelled, different belief fusion methods can be applied. Cumulative and averaging…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-12-10 Audun Josang

Comprehending procedural text, e.g., a paragraph describing photosynthesis, requires modeling actions and the state changes they produce, so that questions about entities at different timepoints can be answered. Although several recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Niket Tandon , Bhavana Dalvi Mishra , Joel Grus , Wen-tau Yih , Antoine Bosselut , Peter Clark

Building on the analysis of Bonanno (Artificial Intelligence, 2025) we introduce a simple modal logic containing three modal operators: a unimodal belief operator, a bimodal conditional operator and the unimodal global operator. For each…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Giacomo Bonanno

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings where good decisions require forming beliefs over the probability of unknown outcomes. However, it is unclear whether LLMs act as if they hold coherent beliefs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Khurram Yamin , Jingjing Tang , Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Amit Sharma , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

According to Boutillier, Darwiche, Pearl and others, principles for iterated revision can be characterised in terms of changing beliefs about conditionals. For iterated contraction a similar formulation is not known. This is especially…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Kai Sauerwald , Gabriele Kern-Isberner , Christoph Beierle

The growing use of AI-generated responses in everyday tools raises concern about how subtle features such as supporting detail or tone of confidence may shape people's beliefs. To understand this, we conducted a pre-registered online…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Zekun Wu , Mayank Jobanputra , Vera Demberg , Jessica Hullman , Anna Maria Feit

Most of the works on planning and learning, e.g., planning by (model based) reinforcement learning, are based on two main assumptions: (i) the set of states of the planning domain is fixed; (ii) the mapping between the observations from the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Luciano Serafini , Paolo Traverso

Information theory provides a mathematical foundation to measure uncertainty in belief. Belief is represented by a probability distribution that captures our understanding of an outcome's plausibility. Information measures based on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Jed A. Duersch , Thomas A. Catanach

Online learning via Bayes' theorem allows new data to be continuously integrated into an agent's current beliefs. However, a naive application of Bayesian methods in non stationary environments leads to slow adaptation and results in state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Josue Nassar , Jennifer Brennan , Ben Evans , Kendall Lowrey

Information gathering in a partially observable environment can be formulated as a reinforcement learning (RL), problem where the reward depends on the agent's uncertainty. For example, the reward can be the negative entropy of the agent's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Yash Satsangi , Sungsu Lim , Shimon Whiteson , Frans Oliehoek , Martha White

In the field of knowledge representation, the considered epistemic states are often based on propositional interpretations, also called worlds. E.g., epistemic states of agents can be modelled by ranking functions or total preorders on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Jonas Haldimann , Christoph Beierle
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