Related papers: Short-range correlations in modified planar rotato…
A Hamiltonian dynamics is defined for the XY model by adding a kinetic energy term. Thermodynamical properties (total energy, magnetization, vorticity) derived from microcanonical simulations of this model are found to be in agreement with…
Fitting statistical models to spatiotemporal data requires finding the right balance between imposing smoothness and following the data. In the context of p-splines, we propose a Bayesian framework for choosing the smoothing parameter which…
Spin systems are fundamental models of statistical physics that provide insight into collective behavior across scientific domains. Their interest to computer science stems in part from the deep connection between the phase transitions they…
We propose a flexible class of models based on scale mixture of uniform distributions to construct shrinkage priors for covariance matrix estimation. This new class of priors enjoys a number of advantages over the traditional scale mixture…
Many physical datasets are generated by collections of instruments that make measurements at regular time intervals. For such regular monitoring data, we extend the framework of half-spectral covariance functions to the case of…
We present a data-driven machine-learning approach for modeling space-time socioeconomic dynamics. Through coarse-graining fine-scale observations, our modeling framework simplifies these complex systems to a set of tractable mechanistic…
Fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) has become a great concern worldwide due to its adverse health effects. PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations typically exhibit complex spatio-temporal variations. Both the mean and the spatio-temporal dependence…
Patterns of the magnetic signature of ionospheric currents, generated from an empirical model based on satellite observations, are used to build a statistical correlation based model for ionospheric fields. In order to stabilize the…
We analyze correlation functions in a toy model of a random geometry interacting with matter. We show that in general the connected correlator will contain a long-range scaling part which is in some sense a remnant of the disconnected part.…
Statistical emulators of computer simulators have proven to be useful in a variety of applications. The widely adopted model for emulator building, using a Gaussian process model with strictly positive correlation function, is…
The analysis of space-time data from complex, real-life phenomena requires the use of flexible and physically motivated covariance functions. In most cases, it is not possible to explicitly solve the equations of motion for the fields or…
Traditional spatio-temporal models for areal data typically begin with spatial structure imposed at the level of random effects and later extend to include temporal dynamics. We propose an alternative hierarchical modeling framework that…
We use Monte Carlo simulations to study the finite temperature behavior of vortices in the XY- model for tangent vector order on curved backgrounds. Contrary to naive expectations, we show that the underlying geometry does not affect the…
We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…
We introduce a Gibbs Markov random field for spatial data on Cartesian grids which is based on the generalized planar rotator (GPR) model. The GPR model generalizes the recently proposed modified planar rotator (MPR) model by including in…
A variational approach for the free energy is used to study the three-dimensional anisotropic XY model in the presence of a crystal field. The magnetization and the phase diagrams as a function of the parameters of the Hamiltonian are…
Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…
The classical Mat\'ern model has been a staple in spatial statistics. Novel data-rich applications in environmental and physical sciences, however, call for new, flexible vector-valued spatial and space-time models. Therefore, the extension…
This study investigates how conditional normalizing flows can be applied to remote sensing data products in climate science for spatio-temporal prediction. The method is chosen due to its desired properties such as exact likelihood…
Spatial heteroskedasticity refers to stochastically changing variances and covariances in space. Such features have been observed in, for example, air pollution and vegetation data. We study how volatility modulated moving averages can…