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The expected signature kernel arises in statistical learning tasks as a similarity measure of probability measures on path space. Computing this kernel for known classes of stochastic processes is an important problem that, in particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Peter K. Friz , Paul P. Hager

The appealing theoretical measure of irreversibility in a stochastic process, as the ratio of the probabilities of a trajectory and its time reversal, cannot be accessed directly in experiment since the probability of a single trajectory is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-14 Julian Kappler , Ronojoy Adhikari

Stationary points or derivative zero crossings of a regression function correspond to points where a trend reverses, making their estimation scientifically important. Existing approaches to uncertainty quantification for stationary points…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Michael Price , Debdeep Pati , Ning Ning

In this paper we explain how to convert discrete invariants into stable ones via what we call hierarchical stabilization. We illustrate this process by constructing stable invariants for multi-parameter persistence modules with respect to…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Oliver Gäfvert , Wojciech Chachólski

Many problems in machine learning involve calculating correspondences between sets of objects, such as point clouds or images. Discrete optimal transport provides a natural and successful approach to such tasks whenever the two sets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-28 David Alvarez-Melis , Stefanie Jegelka , Tommi S. Jaakkola

In estimating the complexity of objects, in particular of graphs, it is common practice to rely on graph- and information-theoretic measures. Here, using integer sequences with properties such as Borel normality, we explain how these…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Hector Zenil , Narsis Kiani , Jesper Tegnér

The idea of a parsing of a stationary process according to a collection of words is introduced, and the basic framework required for the asymptotic analysis of these parsings is presented. We demonstrate how the pointwise ergodic theorem…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Matan Tal

The dynamics of many open quantum systems are described by stochastic master equations. In the discrete-time case, we recall the structure of the derived quantum filter governing the evolution of the density operator conditioned to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-23 Pierre Six , Philippe Campagne-Ibarcq , Landry Bretheau , Benjamin Huard , Pierre Rouchon

Let f_n denote a kernel density estimator of a continuous density f in d dimensions, bounded and positive. Let \Psi(t) be a positive continuous function such that \|\Psi f^{\beta}\|_{\infty}<\infty for some 0<\beta<1/2. Under natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Evarist Gine , Vladimir Koltchinskii , Joel Zinn

In this paper, we consider chains of infinite order on countable state spaces with prohibited transitions. We give a set of sufficient conditions on the structure of the probability kernels of the chains to have at most one stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Christophe Gallesco , Sandro Gallo , Daniel Yasumasa Takahashi

Transport-based density estimation methods are receiving growing interest because of their ability to efficiently generate samples from the approximated density. We further invertigate the sequential transport maps framework proposed from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 Benjamin Zanger , Olivier Zahm , Tiangang Cui , Martin Schreiber

We derive transport-entropy inequalities for mixed binomial point processes, and for Poisson point processes. We show that when the finite intensity measure satisfies a Talagrand transport inequality, the law of the point process also…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Nathael Gozlan , Ronan Herry , Giovanni Peccati

The contribution of this work is twofold. The first part deals with a Hilbert-space version of McCann's celebrated result on the existence and uniqueness of monotone measure-preserving maps: given two probability measures $\rm P$ and $\rm…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Alberto González-Sanz , Marc Hallin , Bodhisattva Sen

Optimal transport (OT) theory provides powerful tools to compare probability measures. However, OT is limited to nonnegative measures having the same mass, and suffers serious drawbacks about its computation and statistics. This leads to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-26 Tam Le , Truyen Nguyen

Optimal transport is widely used to learn distributions, enforce distributional constraints, and model uncertainty. In applications, transport losses are often computed from samples through tractable representations, such as one-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Tam Le

Traffic state estimation (TSE) becomes challenging when probe-vehicle penetration is low and observations are spatially sparse. Pure data-driven methods lack physical explanations and have poor generalization when observed data is sparse.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Yanlin Chen , Kehua Chen , Yinhai Wang

We present the fundamentals of a measure transport approach to sampling. The idea is to construct a deterministic coupling---i.e., a transport map---between a complex "target" probability measure of interest and a simpler reference measure.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-27 Youssef Marzouk , Tarek Moselhy , Matthew Parno , Alessio Spantini

Positive semi-definite kernels are used to induce pseudo-metrics, or ``distances'', between measures. We write these as an expected quadratic variation of, or expected inner product between, a random field and the difference of measures.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Ian Langmore

Optimal transport maps define a one-to-one correspondence between probability distributions, and as such have grown popular for machine learning applications. However, these maps are generally defined on empirical observations and cannot be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Lucas de Lara , Alberto González-Sanz , Jean-Michel Loubes

Filter stability is a classical problem in the study of partially observed Markov processes (POMP), also known as hidden Markov models (HMM). For a POMP, an incorrectly initialized non-linear filter is said to be (asymptotically) stable if…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-22 Curtis McDonald , Serdar Yuksel