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We propose a methodology to analyze data arising from a curve that, over its domain, switches among J states. We consider a sequence of response variables, where each response y depends on a covariate x according to an unobserved state z.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-23 Camila P. E. de Souza , Nancy E. Heckman

We develop a semi-parametric state-space model for time-series data with latent regime transitions. Classical Markov-switching models use fixed parametric transition functions, such as logistic or probit links, which restrict flexibility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-08 Prakul Sunil Hiremath

We design specific neural networks (NNs) for the identification of switching nonlinear systems in the state-space form, which explicitly model the switching behavior and address the inherent coupling between system parameters and switching…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-14 Yanxin Zhang , Chengpu Yu , Filippo Fabiani

Many applications in medical statistics as well as in other fields can be described by transitions between multiple states (e.g. from health to disease) experienced by individuals over time. In this context, multi-state models are a popular…

In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Forzani Liliana , Fraiman Ricardo , Llop Pamela

Mixed-effect models are widely used for the analysis of correlated data such as longitudinal data and repeated measures. In this article, we study an approach to the nonparametric estimation of mixed-effect models. We consider models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chong Gu , Ping Ma

This paper considers multiple regression procedures for analyzing the relationship between a response variable and a vector of covariates in a nonparametric setting where both tuning parameters and the number of covariates need to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chad M. Schafer , Kjell A. Doksum

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression curve when the data are observed with multiplicative distortion which depends on an observed confounding variable. We suggest several estimators, ranging from a relatively simple one that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Wen-Xin Zhou

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

A new model for time series with a specific oscillation pattern is proposed. The model consists of a hidden phase process controlling the speed of polling and a nonparametric curve characterizing the pattern, leading together to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Thierry Dumont , Sylvain Le Corff , Jan C. Neddermeyer

State-space models are ubiquitous in the statistical literature since they provide a flexible and interpretable framework for analyzing many time series. In most practical applications, the state-space model is specified through a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-18 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

Data sets comprised of sequences of curves sampled at high frequencies in time are increasingly common in practice, but they can exhibit complicated dependence structures that cannot be modelled using common methods of Functional Data…

State-space models (SSM) with Markov switching offer a powerful framework for detecting multiple regimes in time series, analyzing mutual dependence and dynamics within regimes, and asserting transitions between regimes. These models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-14 David Degras , Chee-Ming Ting , Hernando Ombao

We consider Bayesian analysis of a class of multiple changepoint models. While there are a variety of efficient ways to analyse these models if the parameters associated with each segment are independent, there are few general approaches…

Computation · Statistics 2009-10-19 Paul Fearnhead , Zhen Liu

Motivated by disease progression-related studies, we propose an estimation method for fitting general non-homogeneous multi-state Markov models. The proposal can handle many types of multi-state processes, with several states and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Alessia Eletti , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-04 Matteo Barigozzi , Daniele Massacci

We present a new mixture model-based discriminant analysis approach for functional data using a specific hidden process regression model. The approach allows for fitting flexible curve-models to each class of complex-shaped curves…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Heré Glotin , Céline Rabouy

Multistate models offer a powerful framework for studying disease processes and can be used to formulate intensity-based and more descriptive marginal regression models. They also represent a natural foundation for the construction of joint…

In this work, we consider the class of multi-state autoregressive processes that can be used to model non-stationary time-series of interest. In order to capture different autoregressive (AR) states underlying an observed time series, it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-13 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh
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