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A central challenge in physics is to describe non-equilibrium systems driven by randomness, such as a randomly growing interface, or fluids subject to random fluctuations that account e.g. for local stresses and heat fluxes not related to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-02-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams , Shouhong Wang

We address the problem of estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous Markov chain given only noisy, aggregate data. This arises when a population of individuals behave independently according to a Markov chain, but individual sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-15 Garrett Bernstein , Daniel Sheldon

Estimating the spectral characteristics of a nonstationary random process is an important but challenging task, which can be facilitated by exploiting structural properties of the process. In certain applications, the observed processes are…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-25 Alexander Jung , Georg Tauböck , Franz Hlawatsch

Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in the uncertainty quantification of many engineering problems, including electronic and photonic integrated circuits influenced by fabrication process variations. Existing techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

Uncertainties have become a major concern in integrated circuit design. In order to avoid the huge number of repeated simulations in conventional Monte Carlo flows, this paper presents an intrusive spectral simulator for statistical circuit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

We revisit the phenomenon of quantum stochastic resonance in the regime of validity of the Bloch equations. We find that a stochastic resonance behavior in the steady-state response of the system is present whenever the noise-induced…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 L. Viola , E. M. Fortunato , S. Lloyd , C. -H. Tseng , D. G. Cory

Nonlinear time series analysis is an active field of research that studies the structure of complex signals in order to derive information of the process that generated those series, for understanding, modeling and forecasting purposes. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Lucas Lacasa , Raul Toral

Some systems cannot be predicted by classical theories and it is required the development of combined deterministic and stochastic theories that make used of noise for dynamical prediction. Noise is not always an interfering signal which…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-05-14 Alexandra Pinto Castellanos

Ultrafast disordering observed after photo-excitation challenges the conventional picture of photo-induced transitions where symmetry-breaking takes place along a single collective coordinate. We propose that key spectroscopic signatures of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2025-07-31 Francesco Valiera , Antonio Picano , Martin Eckstein

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

Due to significant manufacturing process variations, the performance of integrated circuits (ICs) has become increasingly uncertain. Such uncertainties must be carefully quantified with efficient stochastic circuit simulators. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-18 Zheng Zhang , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

Stochastic Thermodynamics (ST) extends the notions of classical thermodynamics to trajectories taken from a nonequilibrium ensemble. This extension yields a simple approach to fluctuation relations in small systems. Multiple time- and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-19 Bernhard Altaner

This work studies the robust subspace tracking (ST) problem. Robust ST can be simply understood as a (slow) time-varying subspace extension of robust PCA. It assumes that the true data lies in a low-dimensional subspace that is either fixed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Praneeth Narayanamurthy , Namrata Vaswani

Critical phase transitions have proven to be a powerful concept to capture the phenomenology of many systems, including deeply non-equilibrium ones like living systems. The study of these phase transitions has overwhelmingly relied on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-12 Leone V. Luzzatto , Mathias Casiulis , Stefano Martiniani , István A. Kovács

A method is proposed to generate an optimal fit of a number of connected linear trend segments onto time-series data. To be able to efficiently handle many lines, the method employs a stochastic search procedure to determine optimal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-11 Myrl G. Marmarelis

Stochastic spectral methods are efficient techniques for uncertainty quantification. Recently they have shown excellent performance in the statistical analysis of integrated circuits. In stochastic spectral methods, one needs to determine a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Zheng Zhang , Tarek A. El-Moselhy , Ibrahim , M. Elfadel , Luca Daniel

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams