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The experimentally measured multiplicity distributions exhibit, after closer inspection, peculiarly enhanced void probability and oscillatory behavior of the modified combinants. We show that both these features can be used as additional…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-09-05 M. Rybczynski , Z. Wlodarczyk , G. Wilk

We propose a deep generative approach to sampling from a conditional distribution based on a unified formulation of conditional distribution and generalized nonparametric regression function using the noise-outsourcing lemma. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Xingyu Zhou , Yuling Jiao , Jin Liu , Jian Huang

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods explicitly defined on the manifold of probability distributions have recently been established. These methods are constructed from diffusions across the manifold and the solution of the equations describing…

Computation · Statistics 2014-03-25 Simon Byrne , Mark Girolami

New criteria are shown that certain combinations of finite unimodal polynomials are unimodal. %Given unimodal polynomials with explicit expressions and dependent recursion relations, we propose an approach to determine their modes. As…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-01-23 Liangxia Wan

The paper introduces a generalization for known probabilistic models such as log-linear and graphical models, called here multiplicative models. These models, that express probabilities via product of parameters are shown to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Ydo Wexler , Christopher Meek

We study different fractional extensions of the Poisson process and generalized counting processes by introducing time-change represented by the inverse to the sums of stable and tempered stable subordinators. We state the governing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lyudmyla Sakhno , Artem Storozhuk

In many applications, accurate class probability estimates are required, but many types of models produce poor quality probability estimates despite achieving acceptable classification accuracy. Even though probability calibration has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Tim Leathart , Maksymilian Polaczuk

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

Conventional multiclass conditional probability estimation methods, such as Fisher's discriminate analysis and logistic regression, often require restrictive distributional model assumption. In this paper, a model-free estimation method is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-08-02 Tu Xu , Junhui Wang

We formulate necessary and sufficient conditions for an arbitrary discrete probability distribution to factor according to an undirected graphical model, or a log-linear model, or other more general exponential models. This result…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Dan Geiger , Christopher Meek , Bernd Sturmfels

Probabilistic programming is becoming increasingly popular thanks to its ability to specify problems with a certain degree of uncertainty. In this work, we focus on term rewriting, a well-known computational formalism. In particular, we…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Germán Vidal

Generating functions, which are widely used in combinatorics and probability theory, encode function values into the coefficients of a polynomial. In this paper, we explore their use as a tractable probabilistic model, and propose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Honghua Zhang , Brendan Juba , Guy Van den Broeck

We define a growing model of random graphs. Given a sequence of nonnegative integers $\{d_n\}_{n=0}^\infty$ with the property that $d_i\leq i$, we construct a random graph on countably infinitely many vertices $v_0,v_1\ldots$ by the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Csaba Biró , Udayan B. Darji

This paper proposes an algorithm to generate random numbers from any member of the truncated multivariate elliptical family of distributions with a strictly decreasing density generating function. Based on Neal (2003) and Ho et al. (2012),…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-20 Katherine A. L. Valeriano , Christian E. Galarza , Larissa A. Matos

The empirical probability density function for the conditional distribution of the true value of Poisson distribution parameter on one measurement is constructed by computer experiment. The analysis of the obtained distributions confirms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , V. A. Medvedev , V. V. Smirnova , Yu. V. Zernii

We propose probabilistic task modelling -- a generative probabilistic model for collections of tasks used in meta-learning. The proposed model combines variational auto-encoding and latent Dirichlet allocation to model each task as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Cuong C. Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

The probability density function of a probability distribution is a fundamental concept in probability theory and a key ingredient in various widely used machine learning methods. However, the necessary framework for compiling probabilistic…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Sooraj Bhat , Johannes Borgström , Andrew D. Gordon , Claudio Russo

Density estimation, which estimates the distribution of data, is an important category of probabilistic machine learning. A family of density estimators is mixture models, such as Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) by expectation maximization.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-18 Benyamin Ghojogh , Milad Amir Toutounchian

This paper presents a study of power series distributions (PSD) with prescribed covariance characteristics. Such distributions constitute a fundamental class in probability theory and mathematical statistics, as they generalize a wide range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Oleksandr Volkov , Yurii Volkov , Nataliia Voinalovych