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Counterfactual explanations are widely used to communicate how inputs must change for a model to alter its prediction. For a single instance, many valid counterfactuals can exist, which leaves open the possibility for an explanation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 James Hinns , Sofie Goethals , Stephan Van der Veeken , Theodoros Evgeniou , David Martens

Algorithms are commonly used to predict outcomes under a particular decision or intervention, such as predicting whether an offender will succeed on parole if placed under minimal supervision. Generally, to learn such counterfactual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-19 Amanda Coston , Edward H. Kennedy , Alexandra Chouldechova

Matched case-control studies are commonly employed in epidemiological research for their convenience and efficiency. Analysis of secondary outcomes can yield valuable insights into biological pathways and help identify genetic variants of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Shanshan Liu , Guoqing Diao

Inferring applicant preferences is fundamental in many analyses of school-choice data. Application mistakes make this task challenging. We propose a novel approach to deal with the mistakes in a deferred-acceptance matching environment. The…

General Economics · Economics 2023-09-26 Yeon-Koo Che , Dong Woo Hahm , YingHua He

The repeated community-wide reuse of test sets in popular benchmark problems raises doubts about the credibility of reported test-error rates. Verifying whether a learned model is overfitted to a test set is challenging as independent test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Roman Werpachowski , András György , Csaba Szepesvári

The idea of rare event sampling is applied to the estimation of the performance of error-correcting codes. The essence of the idea is importance sampling of the pattern of noises in the channel by Multicanonical Monte Carlo, which enables…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Yukito Iba , Koji Hukushima

When modeling the distribution of a multivariate continuous random vector using the so-called \emph{copula approach}, it is not uncommon to have ties in the coordinate samples of the available data because of rounding or lack of measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-07 Ivan Kojadinovic

Semi-supervised learning has emerged as an appealing strategy to train deep models with limited supervision. Most prior literature under this learning paradigm resorts to dual-based architectures, typically composed of a teacher-student…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Martin Van Waerebeke , Gregory Lodygensky , Jose Dolz

In complex clinical trials, multiple research objectives are often grouped into sets of objectives based on their inherent hierarchical relationships. Consequently, the hypotheses formulated to address these objectives are grouped into…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Zhiying Qiu , Wenge Guo , Sanat Sarkar

Customers represent their satisfactions of consuming products by sharing their experiences through the utilization of online reviews. Several machine learning-based approaches can automatically detect deceptive and fake reviews. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Luis Gutierrez-Espinoza , Faranak Abri , Akbar Siami Namin , Keith S. Jones , David R. W. Sears

Accounting fraud is a global concern representing a significant threat to the financial system stability due to the resulting diminishing of the market confidence and trust of regulatory authorities. Several tricks can be used to commit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-09 Maria Jofre , Richard Gerlach

Large language models (LLMs) frequently generate confident yet inaccurate responses, introducing significant risks for deployment in safety-critical domains. We present a novel, test-time approach to detecting model hallucination through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Hazel Kim , Tom A. Lamb , Adel Bibi , Philip Torr , Yarin Gal

This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

There is a broad literature in multiple-choice test development, both in terms of item-writing guidelines and psychometric functionality as a measurement tool. However, most of the published literature concerns multiple-choice testing in…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-03-22 Aaron. D. Slepkov , Melissa L. Van Bussel , Kara. M. Fitze , Wesley S. Burr

Recently, there has been significant interest in linear regression in the situation where predictors and responses are not observed in matching pairs corresponding to the same statistical unit as a consequence of separate data collection…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-04 Martin Slawski , Guoqing Diao , Emanuel Ben-David

The last decade has witnessed an explosion on the computational power and a parallel increase of the access to large sets of data (the so called Big Data paradigm) which is enabling to develop brand new quantitative strategies underpinning…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-31 Lucas Lacasa , Juan Fernández-Gracia

Bicoherence analysis is a well established method for identifying the quadratic nonlinearity of stationary processes. However, it is often applied without checking the basic assumptions of stationarity and convergence. The classic…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-11-08 Peter Zsolt Poloskei , Gergely Papp , Gabor Por , Laszlo Horvath , Gergo I. Pokol

Models of physical systems are used to explain and predict experimental results and observations. When students encounter discrepancies between the actual and expected behavior of a system, they revise their models to include the newly…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-07-06 Laura Ríos , Benjamin Pollard , Dimitri R. Dounas-Frazer , H. J. Lewandowski

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments under a single master protocol, where new treatment arms are added to the trial over time. Given the multiple treatment comparisons, there is the potential for inflation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-09 David S. Robertson , James M. S. Wason , Franz König , Martin Posch , Thomas Jaki

Lotteries are commonly employed in school choice to fairly resolve priority ties; however, current practices typically keep students uninformed about their lottery outcomes at the time of preference submission. This paper advocates for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-04 Lingbo Huang , Jun Zhang