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Estimating the difficulty of multiple-choice questions would be great help for educators who must spend substantial time creating and piloting stimuli for their tests, and for learners who want to practice. Supervised approaches to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Leonidas Zotos , Hedderik van Rijn , Malvina Nissim

When testing multiple hypothesis in a survey --e.g. many different source locations, template waveforms, and so on-- the final result consists in a set of confidence intervals, each one at a desired confidence level. But the probability…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-11-11 L. Baggio , G. A. Prodi

Multiple imputation is a straightforward method for handling missing data in a principled fashion. This paper presents an overview of multiple imputation, including important theoretical results and their practical implications for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-15 Jared S. Murray

While Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as powerful foundational models to solve a variety of tasks, they have also been shown to be prone to hallucinations, i.e., generating responses that sound confident but are actually incorrect…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Jiawei Li , Akshayaa Magesh , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Clinical machine learning applications are often plagued with confounders that can impact the generalizability and predictive performance of the learners. Confounding is especially problematic in remote digital health studies where the…

With medical tests becoming increasingly available, concerns about over-testing and over-treatment dramatically increase. Hence, it is important to understand the influence of testing on treatment selection in general practice. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Yun Li , Irina Bondarenko , Michael R. Elliott , Timothy P. Hofer , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

An increasingly common socio-technical problem is people being taken in by offers that sound ``too good to be true'', where persuasion and trust shape decision-making. This paper investigates how \abr{ai} can help detect these deceptive…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Wichayaporn Wongkamjan , Yanze Wang , Feng Gu , Denis Peskoff , Jonathan K. Kummerfeld , Jonathan May , Jordan Lee Boyd-Graber

In-context learning enables large language models to perform novel tasks through few-shot demonstrations. However, demonstrations per se can naturally contain noise and conflicting examples, making this capability vulnerable. To understand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Difan Jiao , Di Wang , Lijie Hu

Various methodological options exist on evaluating differences in both subgroups and the overall population. Most desirable is the simultaneous study of multiple endpoints in several populations. We investigate a newer method using multiple…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-23 Charlotte Vogel , Frank Schaarschmidt , Christian Ritz , Franz Koenig , Ludwig A. Hothorn

Modern language models can imitate complex patterns through few-shot learning, enabling them to complete challenging tasks without fine-tuning. However, imitation can also lead models to reproduce inaccuracies or harmful content if present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Danny Halawi , Jean-Stanislas Denain , Jacob Steinhardt

We present a model for the equilibrium frequency of offenses and the informativeness of witness reports when potential offenders can commit multiple offenses and witnesses are subject to retaliation risk and idiosyncratic reporting…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-15 Harry Pei , Bruno Strulovici

Publication bias occurs when the publication of research results depends not only on the quality of the research but also on its nature and direction. The consequence is that published studies may not be truly representative of all valid…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-13 Chuan Hong , Jing Zhang , Yang Li , Elena Elia , Richard Riley , Yong Chen

Although some non-trivial photon number resolving detectors exist, it may still be convenient to discriminate photon number states with the method of multiplexed detection. Multiplexing can be performed with paths in real space, with paths…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-01-25 Filippo. M. Miatto , Akbar Safari , Robert W. Boyd

The paper presents an investigation of estimating treatment effect using different matching methods. The study proposed a new method which is computationally efficient and convenient in implication-'largest caliper matching' and compared…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-07 Sharif Mahmood

Large language models (LLMs) can be prone to hallucinations - generating unreliable outputs that are unfaithful to their inputs, external facts or internally inconsistent. In this work, we address several challenges for post-hoc…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Simon Valentin , Jinmiao Fu , Gianluca Detommaso , Shaoyuan Xu , Giovanni Zappella , Bryan Wang

Why do people who disagree about one subject tend to disagree about other subjects as well? In this paper, we introduce a model to explore this phenomenon of "epistemic factionization". Agents attempt to discover the truth about multiple…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-04 James Owen Weatherall , Cailin O'Connor

Aberrant respondents are common but yet extremely detrimental to the quality of social surveys or questionnaires. Recently, factor mixture models have been employed to identify individuals providing deceptive or careless responses. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Niccolò Cao , Livio Finos , Luigi Lombardi , Antonio Calcagnì

Model-free knockoffs is a recently proposed technique for identifying covariates that is likely to have an effect on a response variable. The method is an efficient method to control the false discovery rate in hypothesis tests for separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-29 Lars Holden , Kristoffer Hellton

This paper provides partial identification of various binary choice models with misreported dependent variables. We propose two distinct approaches by exploiting different instrumental variables respectively. In the first approach, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-31 Orville Mondal , Rui Wang

We analyze control of the familywise error rate (FWER) in a multiple testing scenario with a great many null hypotheses about the distribution of a high-dimensional random variable among which only a very small fraction are false, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Kamel Lahouel , Donald Geman , Laurent Younes