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Most energy and commodity markets exhibit mean-reversion and occasional distinctive price spikes, which results in demand for derivative products which protect the holder against high prices. To this end, in this paper we present exact and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-23 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Piergiacomo Sabino

For high dimensional data, some of the standard statistical techniques do not work well. So modification or further development of statistical methods are necessary. In this paper, we explore these modifications. We start with the important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

In this paper, we use the modern setting of functional empirical processes and recent techniques on uniform estimation for non parametric objects to derive consistency bands for the mean excess function in the i.i.d. case. We apply our…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-14 Gane Samb Lo , Diadie Ba , Elhadji Deme , Cheikh Seck

We define a generalized index of jump activity, propose estimators of that index for a discretely sampled process and derive the estimators' properties. These estimators are applicable despite the presence of Brownian volatility in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-24 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

When permutation methods are used in practice, often a limited number of random permutations are used to decrease the computational burden. However, most theoretical literature assumes that the whole permutation group is used, and methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle Goeman

The availability of precise and accurate simulation is a limiting factor for interpreting and forecasting data in many fields of science and engineering. Often, one or more distinct simulation software applications are developed, each with…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-02-19 Moritz Wolf , Lars O. Stietz , Patrick L. S. Connor , Peter Schleper , Samuel Bein

High-frequency trading (HFT) represents a pivotal and intensely competitive domain within the financial markets. The velocity and accuracy of data processing exert a direct influence on profitability, underscoring the significance of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuxin Fan , Zhuohuan Hu , Lei Fu , Yu Cheng , Liyang Wang , Yuxiang Wang

Diffusion probabilistic models generate samples by learning to reverse a noise-injection process that transforms data into noise. A key development is the reformulation of the reverse sampling process as a deterministic probability flow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Zhengjiang Lin

Dynamical systems that evolve continuously over time are ubiquitous throughout science and engineering. Machine learning (ML) provides data-driven approaches to model and predict the dynamics of such systems. A core issue with this approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Aditi S. Krishnapriyan , Alejandro F. Queiruga , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael W. Mahoney

We propose a general framework for studying jump-diffusion systems driven by both Gaussian noise and a jump process with state-dependent intensity. Of particular natural interest are the jump locations: the system evaluated at the jump…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-28 Christopher E. Miles , James P. Keener

The objective of this paper is to study the filtering problem for a system of partially observable processes $(X, Y)$, where $X$ is a non-Markovian pure-jump process representing the signal and $Y$ is a general jump-diffusion which provides…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Elena Bandini , Alessandro Calvia , Katia Colaneri

Large-scale multiple testing under static factor models is widely used to detect sparse signals in high-dimensional data. However, static factor models are arguably too stringent because they ignore serial correlation, which seriously…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-04 Xinxin Yang , Lilun Du

We develop and justify methodology to consistently test for long-horizon return predictability based on realized variance. To accomplish this, we propose a parametric transaction-level model for the continuous-time log price process based…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 Meng-Chen Hsieh , Clifford Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

Continuous-time stochastic processes play an important role in the description of random phenomena, it is therefore of prime interest to study particular variables depending on their paths, like stopping time for example. One approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

The diffusion model has demonstrated promising results in image generation, recently becoming mainstream and representing a notable advancement for many generative modeling tasks. Prior applications of the diffusion model for both fast…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-06-18 Cheng Jiang , Sitian Qian , Huilin Qu

In this paper, we develop invariance-based procedures for testing and inference in high-dimensional regression models. These procedures, also known as randomization tests, provide several important advantages. First, for the global null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Wenxuan Guo , Panos Toulis

This paper proposes new parametric model adequacy tests for possibly nonlinear and nonstationary time series models with noncontinuous data distribution, which is often the case in applied work. In particular, we consider the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Igor Kheifets , Carlos Velasco

We consider specification and inference for the stochastic scale of discretely-observed pure-jump semimartingales with locally stable L\'{e}vy densities in the setting where both the time span of the data set increases, and the mesh of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

Regression testing in software development checks if new software features affect existing ones. Regression testing is a key task in continuous development and integration, where software is built in small increments and new features are…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Alina Torbunova , Per Erik Strandberg , Ivan Porres

We introduce closed-form transition density expansions for multivariate affine jump-diffusion processes. The expansions rely on a general approximation theory which we develop in weighted Hilbert spaces for random variables which possess…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Damir Filipović , Eberhard Mayerhofer , Paul Schneider
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