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In this paper, we study precise deviations including precise large deviations and moderate deviations for discrete marked Hawkes processes for large time asymptotics by using mod-$\phi$ convergence theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Yingli Wang , Ping He

In the framework of Harnack type Dirichlet forms, we prove a large deviation principle for the asymptotics of reversible Markov processes with rate function given by the energy of the paths.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-28 Ann-Kathrin Jarecki

In this paper, we prove a process-level, also known as level-3 large deviation principle for a very general class of simple point processes, i.e. nonlinear Hawkes process, with a rate function given by the process-level entropy, which has…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

The authors discuss information-based complexity theory, which is a model of finite-precision computations with real numbers, and its applications to numerical analysis.

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-02-03 J. F. Traub , Henryk Woźniakowski

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

For any finite colored graph we define the empirical neighborhood measure, which counts the number of vertices of a given color connected to a given number of vertices of each color, and the empirical pair measure, which counts the number…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah , Peter Mörters

Here we propose the Donsker-Varadhan-type compactness conditions and prove the joint large deviation principle for the empirical measure and empirical flow of Markov renewal processes (semi-Markov processes) with a countable state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Chen Jia , Da-quan Jiang , Bingjie Wu

Large deviation functions are an essential tool in the statistics of rare events. Often they can be obtained by contraction from a so-called level 2 large deviation {\em functional} characterizing the empirical density of the underlying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-24 Johannes Hoppenau , Daniel Nickelsen , Andreas Engel

We study the sequential empirical process indexed by general function classes and its smoothed set-indexed analogue. Sufficient conditions for asymptotic equicontinuity are provided for nonstationary arrays of time series. This yields…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Florian Alexander Scholze , Ansgar Steland

The distributions of work for strongly non-equilibrium processes are studied using a very general form of a large-deviation approach, which allows one to study distributions of almost arbitrary quantities of interest for equilibrium,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-07 Alexander K. Hartmann

We introduce a maximal inequality for a local empirical process under strongly mixing data. Local empirical processes are defined as the (local) averages $\frac{1}{nh}\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{1}\{x - h \leq X_i \leq x+h\}f(Z_i)$, where $f$…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-06 Luis Alvarez , Cristine Pinto

The problem of (pathwise) large deviations for conditionally continuous Gaussian processes is investigated. The theory of large deviations for Gaussian processes is extended to the wider class of random processes -- the conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Barbara Pacchiarotti , Alessandro Pigliacelli

Let $S_N$ be the sum of vector-valued functions defined on a finite Markov chain. An analogue of the Bernstein--Hoeffding inequality is derived for the probability of large deviations of $S_N$ and relates the probability to the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladislav Kargin

We incorporate into the empirical measure the auxiliary information given by a finite collection of expectation in an optimal information geometry way. This allows to unify several methods exploiting a side information and to uniquely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Sofiane Arradi-Alaoui

In this paper, we show that the empirical measure of mean-field model satisfies the large deviation principle with respect to the weak convergence topology or the stronger Wasserstein metric, under the strong exponential integrability…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Wei Liu , Liming Wu

For Markov processes evolving on multiple time-scales a combination of large component scalings and averaging of rapid fluctuations can lead to useful limits for model approximation. A general approach to proving a law of large numbers to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Lea Popovic

We introduce a numerical procedure to evaluate directly the probabilities of large deviations of physical quantities, such as current or density, that are local in time. The large-deviation functions are given in terms of the typical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Cristian Giardina' , Jorge Kurchan , Luca Peliti

For any family of measurable sets in a probability space, we show that either (i) the family has infinite Vapnik-Chervonenkis (VC) dimension or (ii) for every epsilon > 0 there is a finite partition pi such the pi-boundary of each set has…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Terrence M. Adams , Andrew B. Nobel

We establish a large deviation principle for time dependent trajectories (paths) of the empirical density of $N$ particles with long range interactions, for homogeneous systems. This result extends the classical kinetic theory that leads to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-19 Ouassim Feliachi , Freddy Bouchet

We study large deviation properties of systems of weakly interacting particles modeled by It\^{o} stochastic differential equations (SDEs). It is known under certain conditions that the corresponding sequence of empirical measures…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Markus Fischer