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In this paper we study extreme events for random walks on homogeneous spaces. We consider the following three cases. On the torus we study closest returns of a random walk to a fixed point in the space. For a random walk on the space of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-04-05 Maxim Sølund Kirsebom

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems that have a singular measure. Using the block maxima approach described in Faranda et al. [2011] we show that,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-14 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

In this note, we obtain verifiable sufficient conditions for the extreme value distribution for a certain class of skew product extensions of non-uniformly hyperbolic base maps. We show that these conditions, formulated in terms of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Chinmaya Gupta

This paper extends a recent extreme value law for horocycle flows on the space of two-dimensional lattices, due to Kirsebom and Mallahi-Karai, to the simplest examples of rank-$k$ unipotent actions on the space of $n$-dimensional lattices.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Jens Marklof , Andreas Strömbergsson , Shucheng Yu

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 N. R. Moloney , J. Davidsen

Extreme value distributions are routinely employed to assess risks connected to extreme events in a large number of applications. They typically are two- or three- parameter distributions: the inference can be unstable, which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Nathan Huet , Ilaria Prosdocimi

Let $\Gamma$ be a lattice of a semisimple Lie group $L$. Suppose that one parameter Ad-diagonalizable subgroup $\{g_t\}$ of $L$ acts ergodically on $L/\Gamma$ with respect to the probability Haar measure $\mu$. For certain proper subgroup…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Ronggang Shi

Following S\"odergren, we consider a collection of random variables on the space $X_n$ of unimodular lattices in dimension $n$: Normalizations of the angles between the $N = N(n)$ shortest vectors in a random unimodular lattice, and the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Kristian Holm

In this paper, we study the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions through group actions. The multivariate and matrix variate symmetric Laplace distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Pooja Yadav , Tanuja Srivastava

Stationary probability distributions of one-dimensional random walks on lattices with aperiodic disorder are investigated. The pattern of the distribution is closely related to the diffusional behavior, which depends on the wandering…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Hiroshi Miki

We examine the stationary distribution of random walks on directed graphs. In particular, we focus on the {\em principal ratio}, which is the ratio of maximum to minimum values of vertices in the stationary distribution. We give an upper…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-02-04 Sinan Aksoy , Fan Chung , Xing Peng

In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems. In this setting, recent works have shown how to get a statistics of extremes in agreement with the classical Extreme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-12-01 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Giorgio Turchetti , Sandro Vaienti

We consider discrete time dynamical systems and show the link between Hitting Time Statistics (the distribution of the first time points land in asymptotically small sets) and Extreme Value Theory (distribution properties of the partial…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-17 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Let $G$ be a real Lie group, $\Lambda\subseteq G$ a lattice, and $X=G/\Lambda$. We fix a probability measure $\mu$ on $G$ and consider the left random walk induced on $X$. It is assumed that $\mu$ is aperiodic, has a finite first moment,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Timothée Bénard

Several problems in number theory when reformulated in terms of homogenous dynamics involve study of limiting distributions of translates of algebraically defined measures on orbits of reductive groups. The general non-divergence and…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Rodolphe Richard , Nimish A. Shah

Analysis of the rare and extreme values through statistical modeling is an important issue in economical crises, climate forecasting, and risk management of financial portfolios. Extreme value theory provides the probability models needed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-15 Ali Reza Fotouhi

We discuss the asymptotic behaviour of models of lattice polygons, mainly on the square lattice. In particular, we focus on limiting area laws in the uniform perimeter ensemble where, for fixed perimeter, each polygon of a given area occurs…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-12-22 Christoph Richard

We establish recurrence criteria for sums of independent random variables which take values in Euclidean lattices of varying dimension. In particular, we describe transient inhomogenous random walks in the plane which interlace two…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Itai Benjamini , Robin Pemantle , Yuval Peres

Since the extreme value index (EVI) controls the tail behaviour of the distribution function, the estimation of EVI is a very important topic in extreme value theory. Recent developments in the estimation of EVI along with covariates have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Takuma Yoshida

We investigate three aspects of weak* convergence of the $n$-step distributions of random walks on finite volume homogeneous spaces $G/\Gamma$ of semisimple real Lie groups. First, we look into the obvious obstruction to the upgrade from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Roland Prohaska
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