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A simple analytically solvable model exhibiting a 1/f spectrum in an arbitrarily wide frequency range was recently proposed by Kaulakys and Meskauskas (KM). Signals consisting of a sequence of pulses show that inherent origin of the 1/f…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Vygintas Gontis

A technique for on-line estimation of spot volatility for high-frequency data is developed. The algorithm works directly on the transaction data and updates the volatility estimate immediately after the occurrence of a new transaction.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-15 Rainer Dahlhaus , Jan C. Neddermeyer

In this paper the diffusion entropy technique is applied to investigate the scaling behavior of financial markets. The scaling behaviors of four representative stock markets, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard&Poor 500, Heng Seng Index,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Shi-Min Cai , Pei-Ling Zhou , Hui-Jie Yang , Chun-Xia Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Tao Zhou

In this paper we study BSE Index financial time series for fractal and multifractal behaviour. We show that Bombay stock Exchange (BSE)Index time series is mono-fractal and can be represented by a fractional Brownian motion.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ashok Razdan

Most data processing techniques, applied to biomedical and sociological time series, are only valid for random fluctuations that are stationary in time. Unfortunately, these data are often non stationary and the use of techniques of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 M. Ignaccolo , P. Allegrini , P. Grigolini , P. Hamilton , B. J. West

For the pedestrian observer, financial markets look completely random with erratic and uncontrollable behavior. To a large extend, this is correct. At first approximation the difference between real price changes and the random walk model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-22 Laurent Schoeffel

A few characteristic exponents describing power law behaviors of roughness, coherence and persistence in stochastic time series are compared to each other. Relevant techniques for analyzing such time series are recalled in order to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Ausloos

Anomalous diffusion is predicted for Brownian particles in inhomogeneous viscosity landscapes by means of scaling arguments, which are substantiated through numerical simulations. Analytical solutions of the related Fokker-Planck equation…

We present a methodology for the study of the dispersion of trajectories of stochastic processes in reconstructed phase spaces from observed data. The methodology allows to find ensembles of analog states, i.e. states that are close in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-18 Carlos Granero-Belinchon

One of the major issues studied in finance that has always intrigued, both scholars and practitioners, and to which no unified theory has yet been discovered, is the reason why prices move over time. Since there are several well-known…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Sonia R. Bentes , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus

We pursue the quantum-mechanical challenge to the efficient market hypothesis for the stock market by employing the quantum Brownian motion model. We utilize the quantum Caldeira-Leggett master equation as a possible phenomenological model…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Jasmina Jeknić-Dugić , Sonja Radi\' c , Igor Petrović , Momir Arsenijević , Miroljub Dugić

Anomalous diffusion phenomenon is an intriguing process that tracer diffusion presents in numerous complex systems. Current experimental and theoretical investigations have reported the emergence of random diffusivity scenarios accompanied…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-19 M. A. F. dos Santos , L. Menon Junior , D. Cius

Maximum likelihood estimation applied to high-frequency data allows us to quantify intermittency in the fluctu- ations of asset prices. From time records as short as one month these methods permit extraction of a meaningful intermittency…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Martin Rypdal , Espen Sirnes , Ola Løvsletten , Kristoffer Rypdal

To model a given time series $F(t)$ with fractal Brownian motions (fBms), it is necessary to have appropriate error assessment for related quantities. Usually the fractal dimension $D$ is derived from the Hurst exponent $H$ via the relation…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-17 Bingqiang Qiao , Siming Liu

Herein we develop a dynamical foundation for fractional Brownian Motion. A clear relation is established between the asymptotic behaviour of the correlation function and diffusion in a dynamical system. Then, assuming that scaling is…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 R Mannella , P Grigolini , BJ West

The scaling properties of the time series of asset prices and trading volumes of stock markets are analysed. It is shown that similarly to the asset prices, the trading volume data obey multi-scaling length-distribution of low-variability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

A central problem of Quantitative Finance is that of formulating a probabilistic model of the time evolution of asset prices allowing reliable predictions on their future volatility. As in several natural phenomena, the predictions of such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-25 Fulvio Baldovin , Dario Bovina , Francesco Camana , Attilio L. Stella

We present a model of anomalous diffusion consisting of an ensemble of particles undergoing homogeneous Brownian motion except for confinement by randomly placed reflecting boundaries. For power-law distributed compartment sizes, we…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-09 Gerald John Lapeyre

Diffusive motion is a fundamental transport mechanism in physical and biological systems, governing dynamics across a wide range of scales -- from molecular transport to animal foraging. In many complex systems, however, diffusion deviates…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-01 Takuma Akimoto , Jae-Hyung Jeon , Ralf Metzler , Tomoshige Miyaguchi , Takashi Uneyama , Eiji Yamamoto