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The integration and innovation of finance and technology have gradually transformed the financial system into a complex one. Analyses of the causesd of abnormal fluctuations in the financial market to extract early warning indicators…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Shige Peng , Shuzhen Yang , Wenqing Zhang

We use the expectation of the range of an arithmetic Brownian motion and the method of moments on the daily high, low, opening and closing prices to estimate the volatility of the stock price. The daily price jump at the opening is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-21 Cristin Buescu , Michael Taksar , Fatoumata J. Koné

The analysis of local minima in time series data and random landscapes is essential across numerous scientific disciplines, offering critical insights into system dynamics. Recently, Kundu, Majumdar, and Schehr derived the exact…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-19 Maxim Dolgushev , Olivier Bénichou

Scaled Brownian motion (SBM) is widely used to model anomalous diffusion of passive tracers in complex and biological systems. It is a highly non-stationary process governed by the Langevin equation for Brownian motion, however, with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-23 H. Safdari , A. V. Chechkin , G. R. Jafari , R. Metzler

We make use of wavelet transform to study the multi-scale, self similar behavior and deviations thereof, in the stock prices of large companies, belonging to different economic sectors. The stock market returns exhibit multi-fractal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Sayantan Ghosh , P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi

Fractional Brownian motion, a stochastic process with long-time correlations between its increments, is a prototypical model for anomalous diffusion. We analyze fractional Brownian motion in the presence of a reflecting wall by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-21 Alexander H. O. Wada , Thomas Vojta

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is a centered self-similar Gaussian process with stationary increments, which depends on a parameter $H \in (0, 1)$ called the Hurst index. The use of time-changed processes in modeling often requires the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Jebessa B. Mijena

Many real time-series exhibit behavior adequate to long range dependent data. Additionally very often these time-series have constant time periods and also have characteristics similar to Gaussian processes although they are not Gaussian.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-01-04 A. Kumar , A. Wyłomańska , R. Połoczański , S. Sundar

In the context of time-subordinated Brownian motion models, Fourier theory and methodology are proposed to modelling the stochastic distribution of time increments. Gaussian Variance-Mean mixtures and time-subordinated models are reviewed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

This paper investigates short-term behaviors of implied volatility of derivatives written on indexes in equity markets when the index processes are constructed by using a ranking procedure. Even in simple market settings where stock prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Huy N. Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

This paper provides yet another look at the mixed fractional Brownian motion (fBm), this time, from the spectral perspective. We derive an approximation for the eigenvalues of its covariance operator, asymptotically accurate up to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-25 P. Chigansky , M. Kleptsyna , D. Marushkevych

A methodology of adaptive time series analysis based on Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) has been employed to investigate $^{7}$Be activity concentration variability, along with temperature. Analysed data were sampled at ground level by…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-05-22 Alessandro Longo , Stefano Bianchi , Wolfango Plastino

We introduce a general class of stochastic processes driven by a multifractional Brownian motion (mBm) and study the estimation problems of their pointwise H\"older exponents (PHE) based on a new localized generalized quadratic variation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Qidi Peng , Ran Zhao

It is believed by the majority today that the efficient market hypothesis is imperfect because of market irrationality. Using the physical concepts and mathematical structures of quantum mechanics, we construct an econophysics framework for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-22 Xiangyi Meng , Jian-Wei Zhang , Hong Guo

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade

Stochastic integration w.r.t. fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has raised strong interest in recent years, motivated in particular by applications in finance and Internet traffic modelling. Since fBm is not a semi-martingale, stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-03 Joachim Lebovits

We introduce fractional Brownian motion processes (fBm) as an alternative model for the turbulent index of refraction. These processes allow to reconstruct most of the refractive index properties, but they are not differentiable. We…

Optics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dario G. Perez

This article present a continuous cascade model of volatility formulated as a stochastic differential equation. Two independent Brownian motions are introduced as random sources triggering the volatility cascade. One multiplicatively…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-26 Jun-ichi Maskawa , Koji Kuroda

This article studies typical dynamics and fluctuations for a slow-fast dynamical system perturbed by a small fractional Brownian noise. Based on an ergodic theorem with explicit rates of convergence, which may be of independent interest, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We develop a novel observation-driven model for high-frequency prices. We account for irregularly spaced observations, simultaneous transactions, discreteness of prices, and market microstructure noise. The relation between trade durations…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Vladimír Holý