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This paper considers the generation of prediction intervals (PIs) by neural networks for quantifying uncertainty in regression tasks. It is axiomatic that high-quality PIs should be as narrow as possible, whilst capturing a specified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Tim Pearce , Mohamed Zaki , Alexandra Brintrup , Andy Neely

The current standard for confidence interval construction in the context of a possibly misspecified model is to use an interval based on the sandwich estimate of variance. These intervals provide asymptotically correct coverage, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-31 James W. Harmon , Peter D. Hoff

We propose a simple and efficient approach to generate a prediction intervals (PI) for approximated and forecasted trends. Our method leverages a weighted asymmetric loss function to estimate the lower and upper bounds of the PI, with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-20 Milo Grillo , Yunpeng Han , Agnieszka Werpachowska

Direct measurements of Gini coefficients by conventional arithmetic calculations are a poor estimator, even if paradoxically, they include the entire population, as because of super-additivity they cannot lend themselves to comparisons…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-19 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Gini coefficient is an universally used measurement of income inequality. Intersectoral GDP contributions reveal the economic development of different sectors of the national economy. Linking intersectoral GDP contributions to Gini…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Jingcheng Meng , Yimeng Ren , Xuening Zhu , Guanyu Hu

This paper revisits a fundamental problem in statistical inference from a non-asymptotic theoretical viewpoint $\unicode{x2013}$ the construction of confidence sets. We establish a finite-sample bound for the estimator, characterizing its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Lang Liu , Zaid Harchaoui

A sampling-based method is introduced to approximate the Gittins index for a general family of alternative bandit processes. The approximation consists of a truncation of the optimization horizon and support for the immediate rewards, an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Aleida Braaksma

The categorical Gini correlation is an alternative measure of dependence between a categorical and numerical variables, which characterizes the independence of the variables. A nonparametric test for the equality of K distributions has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-02 Yongli Sang , Xin Dang , Yichuan Zhao

Inequalities may appear in many models. They can be as simple as assuming a parameter is nonnegative, possibly a regression coefficient or a treatment effect. This paper focuses on the case that there is only one inequality and proposes a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-17 Gregory Fletcher Cox

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

There are over 55 different ways to construct a confidence respectively credible interval (CI) for the binomial proportion. Methods to compare them are necessary to decide which should be used in practice. The interval score has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Lisa J. Hofer , Leonhard Held

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

The coefficient of variation, which measures the variability of a distribution from its mean, is not uniquely defined in the multidimensional case, and so is the multidimensional Gini index, which measures the inequality of a distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Gennaro Auricchio , Paolo Giudici , Giuseppe Toscani

Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

This paper introduces the partial Gini covariance, a novel dependence measure that addresses the challenges of high-dimensional inference with heavy-tailed errors, often encountered in fields like finance, insurance, climate, and biology.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Yilin Zhang , Songshan Yang , Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

Measuring inequalities in a multidimensional framework is a challenging problem which is common to most field of science and engineering. Nevertheless, despite the enormous amount of researches illustrating the fields of application of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-19 Giuseppe Toscani

This paper examines the properties of the Gini coefficient estimator for gamma mixture populations and reveals the presence of bias. In contrast, we show that sampling from a gamma distribution yields an unbiased estimator, consistent with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo

In 1938, Gini studied a mean having two parameters. Later, many authors studied properties of this mean. In particular, it contains the famous means as harmonic, geometric, arithmetic, etc. Here we considered a sequence of inequalities…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-11-04 Inder Jeet Taneja

Measuring distances in a multidimensional setting is a challenging problem, which appears in many fields of science and engineering. In this paper, to measure the distance between two multivariate distributions, we introduce a new measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Gennaro Auricchio , Giovanni Brigati , Paolo Giudici , Giuseppe Toscani

We present an efficient method of calculating exact confidence intervals for the hypergeometric parameter representing the number of "successes," or "special items," in the population. The method inverts minimum-width acceptance intervals…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-29 Jay Bartroff , Gary Lorden , Lijia Wang