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This paper introduces a consistent estimator and rate of convergence for the precision matrix of asset returns in large portfolios using a non-linear factor model within the deep learning framework. Our estimator remains valid even in low…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mehmet Caner , Maurizio Daniele

In portfolio optimization problems, the minimum expected investment risk is not always smaller than the expected minimal investment risk. That is, using a well-known approach from operations research, it is possible to derive a strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

In this paper, we discuss the ambiguous chance constrained based portfolio optimization problems, in which the perturbations associated with the input parameters are stochastic in nature, but their distributions are not known precisely. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

As the cornerstone of modern portfolio theory, Markowitz's mean-variance optimization is considered a major model adopted in portfolio management. However, due to the difficulty of estimating its parameters, it cannot be applied to all…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Mengying Zhu , Xiaolin Zheng , Yan Wang , Yuyuan Li , Qianqiao Liang

The Markowitz model is still the cornerstone of modern portfolio theory. In particular, when focusing on the minimum-variance portfolio, the covariance matrix or better its inverse, the so-called precision matrix, is the only input…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-28 Karoline Bax , Emanuele Taufer , Sandra Paterlini

Individual investors are now massively using online brokers to trade stocks with convenient interfaces and low fees, albeit losing the advice and personalization traditionally provided by full-service brokers. We frame the problem faced by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Robin Swezey , Bruno Charron

We consider the problem of estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices of $K$-populations or classes in the setting where the sample sizes are comparable to the data dimension. We propose estimating each class covariance matrix as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Elias Raninen , David E. Tyler , Esa Ollila

We propose an alternative linearization to the classical Markowitz quadratic portfolio optimization model, based on maximum drawdown. This model, which minimizes maximum portfolio drawdown, is particularly appealing during times of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-08 Albert Dorador

We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Tahsin Deniz Aktürk , Çağın Ararat

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang

Optimizing portfolio performance is a fundamental challenge in financial modeling, requiring the integration of advanced clustering techniques and data-driven optimization strategies. This paper introduces a comparative backtesting approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Keon Vin Park

I discuss some theoretical results with a view to motivate some practical choices in portfolio optimization. Even though the setting is not completely general (for example, the covariance matrix is assumed to be non-singular), I attempt to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-29 Vassilios Papathanakos

In this paper we consider the problem of minimising drawdown in a portfolio of financial assets. Here drawdown represents the relative opportunity cost of the single best missed trading opportunity over a specified time period. We formulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 C. A. Valle , J. E. Beasley

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca

Portfolio optimization approaches inevitably rely on multivariate modeling of markets and the economy. In this paper, we address three sources of error related to the modeling of these complex systems: 1. oversimplifying hypothesis; 2.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-30 Pier Francesco Procacci , Tomaso Aste

Modern portfolio optimization is centered around creating a low-risk portfolio with extensive asset diversification. Following the seminal work of Markowitz, optimal asset allocation can be computed using a constrained optimization model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-24 Yuanrong Wang , Antonio Briola , Tomaso Aste

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

Online portfolio selection is an integral componentof wealth management. The fundamental undertaking is tomaximise returns while minimising risk given investor con-straints. We aim to examine and improve modern strategiesto generate higher…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Matthew Kruger , Terence L. van Zyl , Andrew Paskaramoorthy

This paper develops a large-scale inference approach for the regularization of stock return covariance matrices. The framework allows for the presence of heavy tails and multivariate GARCH-type effects of unknown form among the stock…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-16 Richard Luger

This paper introduces a dynamic minimum variance portfolio (MVP) model using nonlinear volatility dynamic models, based on high-frequency financial data. Specifically, we impose an autoregressive dynamic structure on MVP processes, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-23 Donggyu Kim , Minseog Oh