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Many new models for measuring financial contagion have been presented recently. While these models have not been specified for investment funds directly, there are many similarities that could be explored to extend the models. In this work…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-14 Leonardo dos Santos Pinheiro , Flavio Codeco Coelho

Systemic risk refers to the risk that the financial system is susceptible to failures due to the characteristics of the system itself. The tremendous cost of systemic risk requires the design and implementation of tools for the efficient…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-06 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff , Stefan Weber

The field of Financial Networks is a paramount example of the novel applications of Statistical Physics that have made possible by the present data revolution. As the total value of the global financial market has vastly outgrown the value…

The DebtRank algorithm has been increasingly investigated as a method to estimate the impact of shocks in financial networks, as it overcomes the limitations of the traditional default-cascade approaches. Here we formulate a dynamical…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-21 Marco Bardoscia , Stefano Battiston , Fabio Caccioli , Guido Caldarelli

We consider networks of banks with assets and liabilities. Some banks may be insolvent, and a central bank can decide which insolvent banks, if any, to bail out. We view bailouts as an optimization problem where the central bank has given…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Beni Egressy , Roger Wattenhofer

In the current context of accelerated globalization and digitalization, the complexity and uncertainty of financial markets are increasing, and the identification and prevention of economic risks have become a key link in maintaining the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-20 Xin Zhang , Zhen Xu , Yue Liu , Mengfang Sun , Tong Zhou , Wenying Sun

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

We model the production of complex goods in a large supply network. Each firm sources several essential inputs through relationships with other firms. Individual supply relationships are at risk of idiosyncratic failure, which threatens to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-28 Matthew Elliott , Benjamin Golub , Matthew V. Leduc

Bank crisis is challenging to define but can be manifested through bank contagion. This study presents a comprehensive framework grounded in nonlinear time series analysis to identify potential early warning signals (EWS) for impending…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-17 Shijia Song , Handong Li

A quantitative evaluation of the contribution of individual units in producing the collective behavior of a complex network can allow us to understand the potential damage to the structure integrity due to the failure of local nodes. Given…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-19 X. San Liang

Networks are universally considered as complex structures of interactions of large multi-component systems. In order to determine the role that each node has inside a complex network, several centrality measures have been developed. Such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-08-20 Malbor Asllani , Bruno Requiao da Cunha , Ernesto Estrada , James P. Gleeson

Complex networks often have a modular structure, where a number of tightly- connected groups of nodes (modules) have relatively few interconnections. Modularity had been shown to have an important effect on the evolution and stability of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-21 Saray Shai , Dror Y. Kenett , Yoed N. Kenett , Miriam Faust , Simon Dobson , Shlomo Havlin

In this paper, we introduce an impact centrality measure to evaluate shock propagation on financial networks capturing a notion of contagion and systemic risk contributions, permitting comparisons of these risks over time. In addition, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-06 Agathe Sadeghi , Zachary Feinstein

A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-20 Thomas R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

Recent work in the area of interdependent networks has focused on interactions between two systems of the same type. However, an important and ubiquitous class of systems are those involving monitoring and control, an example of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-09-27 Richard G. Morris , Marc Barthelemy

We analyze how interdependencies between organizations in financial networks can lead to multiple possible equilibrium outcomes. A multiplicity arises if and only if there exists a certain type of dependency cycle in the network that allows…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Matthew O. Jackson , Agathe Pernoud

Ideas, behaviors, and opinions spread through social networks. If the probability of spreading to a new individual is a non-linear function of the fraction of the individuals' affected neighbors, such a spreading process becomes a "complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-08-30 Julian Kates-Harbeck , Michael M. Desai

Empirical estimation of critical points at which complex systems abruptly flip from one state to another is among the remaining challenges in network science. However, due to the stochastic nature of critical transitions it is widely…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-09 B. Podobnik , T. Lipic , D. Horvatic , A. Majdandzic , S. Bishop , H. E. Stanley

The response of complex networks to perturbations is of utmost importance in areas as diverse as ecosystem management, emergency response, and cell reprogramming. A fundamental property of networks is that the perturbation of one node can…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2011-05-20 Sean P. Cornelius , William L. Kath , Adilson E. Motter

Credit networks rely on decentralized, pairwise trust relationships (channels) to exchange money or goods. Credit networks arise naturally in many financial systems, including the recent construct of payment channel networks in blockchain…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Vibhaalakshmi Sivaraman , Weizhao Tang , Shaileshh Bojja Venkatakrishnan , Giulia Fanti , Mohammad Alizadeh