Related papers: MaxEnt, second variation, and generalized statisti…
Estimating extreme quantiles is an important task in many applications, including financial risk management and climatology. More important than estimating the quantile itself is to insure zero coverage error, which implies the quantile…
Models based on multivariate t distributions are widely applied to analyze data with heavy tails. However, all the marginal distributions of the multivariate t distributions are restricted to have the same degrees of freedom, making these…
Let $X(t), t\in \mathcal{T}$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^2(\cdot)$ that attains its maximum at the unique point $t_0\in \mathcal{T}$, and let $M(\mathcal{T}):=\sup_{t\in \mathcal{T}} X(t)$. For…
We first observe that the (co)domains of the q-deformed functions are some subsets of the (co)domains of their ordinary counterparts, thereby deeming the deformed functions to be incomplete. In order to obtain a complete definition of…
This article deals with the hypothesis test for the extremely heavy-tailed distributions with infinite mean or variance by using a truncated sample mean. We obtain three necessary and sufficient conditions under which the asymptotic…
A lower bound of the reduced relative entropy is given by the use of a variational expression. The reduced Tsallis relative entropy is defined and some results are given. In particular, the convexity of the reduced Tsallis relative entropy…
Extreme events and the heavy tail distributions driven by them are ubiquitous in various scientific, engineering and financial research. They are typically associated with stochastic instability caused by hidden unresolved processes.…
We consider heavy-tailed distributions and compare the well-known estimators of the tail index, based on extreme value theory with a comparatively recent estimator based on a different idea.
Alternative definitions are given of basic concepts of generalized thermostatistics. In particular, generalizations of Shannon's entropy, of the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution, and of relative entropy are considered. Particular choices made…
The existence of large and extreme claims of a non-life insurance portfolio influences the ability of (re)insurers to estimate the reserve. The excess over-threshold method provides a way to capture and model the typical behaviour of…
Heckman selection model is the most popular econometric model in analysis of data with sample selection. However, selection models with Normal errors cannot accommodate heavy tails in the error distribution. Recently, Marchenko and Genton…
In this paper, we consider a classic problem concerning the high excursion probabilities of a Gaussian random field $f$ living on a compact set $T$. We develop efficient computational methods for the tail probabilities $P(\sup_T f(t) > b)$…
The properties of Maximum Likelihood estimator in mixed causal and noncausal models with a generalized Student's t error process are reviewed. Several known existing methods are typically not applicable in the heavy-tailed framework. To…
One of the core problems in variational inference is a choice of approximate posterior distribution. It is crucial to trade-off between efficient inference with simple families as mean-field models and accuracy of inference. We propose a…
Using terminologies of information geometry, we derive upper and lower bounds of the tail probability of the sample mean. Employing these bounds, we obtain upper and lower bounds of the minimum error probability of the 2nd kind of error…
For probability measures on countable spaces we derive distributional limits for empirical entropic optimal transport quantities. More precisely, we show that the empirical optimal transport plan weakly converges to a centered Gaussian…
In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating Tsallis entropy from a given data set. We propose four different estimators for Tsallis entropy measure based on higher-order sample spacings, and then discuss estimation of Tsallis…
A fundamental problem in analysis of complex systems is getting a reliable estimate of entropy of their probability distributions over the state space. This is difficult because unsampled states can contribute substantially to the entropy,…
In previous work Majda and McLaughlin computed explicit expressions for the $2N$th moments of a passive scalar advected by a linear shear flow in the form of an integral over ${\bf R}^N$. In this paper we first compute the asymptotics of…
We have discussed the Tsallis entropy in finite $N$-unit nonextensive systems, by using the multivariate $q$-Gaussian probability distribution functions (PDFs) derived by the maximum entropy methods with the normal average and the…