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Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

Stochastic and conditional simulation methods have been effective towards producing realistic realizations and simulations of spatial numerical models that share equal probability of occurrence. Application of these methods are valuable…

This paper discusses stochastic numerical methods of Runge-Kutta type with weak and strong convergences for systems of stochastic differential equations in It\^o form. At the beginning we give a brief overview of the stochastic numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Migran N. Gevorkyan , Anastasia V. Demidova , Anna V. Korolkova , Dmitry S. Kulyabov

Progressive Hedging is a popular decomposition algorithm for solving multi-stage stochastic optimization problems. A computational bottleneck of this algorithm is that all scenario subproblems have to be solved at each iteration. In this…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Gilles Bareilles , Yassine Laguel , Dmitry Grishchenko , Franck Iutzeler , Jérôme Malick

Machine learning provides algorithms that can learn from data and make inferences or predictions on data. Stochastic acceptors or probabilistic automata are stochastic automata without output that can model components in machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Karl-Heinz Zimmermann

Stochastic dual dynamic programming is a cutting plane type algorithm for multi-stage stochastic optimization originated about 30 years ago. In spite of its popularity in practice, there does not exist any analysis on the convergence rates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Guanghui Lan

Metamodeling of complex numerical systems has recently attracted the interest of the mathematical programming community. Despite the progress in high performance computing, simulations remain costly, as a matter of fact, the assessment of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-11-13 Soumaya Azzi , Yuanyuan Huang , Bruno Sudret , Joe Wiart

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce scenario based stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables, which we can set, and stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 S. Armagan Tarim , Suresh Manandhar , Toby Walsh

Stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) are increasingly used to account for the inherent stochasticity exhibited by interacting populations of species in areas such as epidemiology, population ecology and systems biology. Species numbers are…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-06 Tom E. Lowe , Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

Optimization by stochastic gradient descent is an important component of many large-scale machine learning algorithms. A wide variety of such optimization algorithms have been devised; however, it is unclear whether these algorithms are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-26 Tom Schaul , Ioannis Antonoglou , David Silver

We consider the problem of calibrating an imperfect computer model using experimental data. To compensate the misspecification of the computer model and make more accurate predictions, a discrepancy function is often included and modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-04 Mengyang Gu , Long Wang

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Reproducibility is a fundamental requirement for validating scientific claims in computational research. Stochastic computational models are widely used in fields such as systems biology, financial modeling and environmental sciences.…

When looking for a solution, deterministic methods have the enormous advantage that they do find global optima. Unfortunately, they are very CPU-intensive, and are useless on untractable NP-hard problems that would require thousands of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2011-12-20 Pierre Collet , Jean-Philippe Rennard

Affective Computing is a rapidly growing field spurred by advancements in artificial intelligence, but often, held back by the inability to translate psychological theories of emotion into tractable computational models. To address this, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Desmond C. Ong , Harold Soh , Jamil Zaki , Noah D. Goodman

We introduce the notion of a stochastic probabilistic program and present a reference implementation of a probabilistic programming facility supporting specification of stochastic probabilistic programs and inference in them. Stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-23 David Tolpin , Tomer Dobkin

Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

The purpose of this article is to lay the mathematical foundations of a well known numerical approach in computational statistical physics and molecular dynamics, namely the parallel replica dynamics introduced by A.F. Voter. The aim of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-25 C. Le Bris , T. Lelièvre , M. Luskin , D. Perez

As a new tool in the NextGen portfolio, the Collaborative Trajectory Options Programs (CTOP) combines multiple features from its forerunners including Ground Delay Program (GDP), Airspace Flow Program (AFP) and reroutes, and can manage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Guodong Zhu , Peng Wei , Robert Hoffman , Bert Hackney

We present a computational model of mathematical reasoning according to which mathematics is a fundamentally stochastic process. That is, on our model, whether or not a given formula is deemed a theorem in some axiomatic system is not a…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-12-16 David H. Wolpert , David Kinney