Related papers: Convergence rates for subcritical threshold-one co…
We study epidemic processes with immunization on very large 1-dimensional lattices, where at least some of the infections are non-local, with rates decaying as power laws p(x) ~ x^{-sigma-1} for large distances x. When starting with a…
We consider a contact process on $Z^d$ with two species that interact in a symbiotic manner. Each site can either be vacant or occupied by individuals of species $A$ and/or $B$. Multiple occupancy by the same species at a single site is…
The outcome of SIR epidemics with heterogeneous infective lifetimes, or heterogeneous susceptibilities, can be mapped onto a directed percolation process on the underlying contact network. In this paper we study SIR models where…
We investigate percolation on a randomly directed lattice, an intermediate between standard percolation and directed percolation, focusing on the isotropic case in which bonds on opposite directions occur with the same probability. We…
We study survival and extinction of a long-range infection process on a diluted one-dimensional lattice in discrete time. The infection can spread to distant vertices according to a Pareto distribution, however spreading is also prohibited…
We show that the contact process on the rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs and Erdos-R{\'e}nyi graphs with mean degree large enough survives a time exponential in the size of these graphs for any positive infection rate. In addition, a…
We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered model of epidemics in the vicinity of the threshold infectivity. We derive the distribution of total outbreak size in the limit of large population size $N$. This is accomplished by mapping the…
We study the effects of local and distance interactions in the unidimensional contact process (CP). In the model, each site of a lattice is occupied by an individual, which can be healthy or infected. As in the standard CP, each infected…
Consider a one dimensional critical branching L\'{e}vy process $((Z_t)_{t\geq 0}, \mathbb {P}_x)$. Assume that the offspring distribution either has finite second moment or belongs to the domain of attraction to some $\alpha$-stable…
We study a stochastic compartmental susceptible-infected (SI) epidemic process on a configuration model random graph with a given degree distribution over a finite time interval $[0,T],$ for some $ T>0$. In this setting, we split the…
The contact process with an asymptomatic state, introduced in [Belhadji, Lanchier and Mercer, Stochastic Process. Appl., 176:104417, 2024], is a natural variant of the basic contact process that distinguishes between asymptomatic (state 1)…
We study the small-time asymptotics of sample paths of L\'evy processes and L\'evy-type processes. Namely, we investigate under which conditions the limit $$\limsup_{t \to 0} \frac{1}{f(t)} |X_t-X_0|$$ is finite resp.\ infinite with…
The three state contact process is the modification of the contact process at rate $\mu$ in which first infections occur at rate $\lambda$ instead. Chapters 2 and 3 consider the three state contact process on (graphs that have as set of…
We consider a supercritical branching process $(Z_n)$ in a random environment $\xi$. Let $W$ be the limit of the normalized population size $W_n=Z_n/E[Z_n|\xi]$. We first show a necessary and sufficient condition for the quenched $L^p$…
We study the spread of an infection on top of a moving population. The environment evolves as a zero range process on the integer lattice starting in equilibrium. At time zero, the set of infected particles is composed by those which are on…
We investigate a fermionic susceptible-infected-susceptible model with mobility of infected individuals on uncorrelated scale-free networks with power-law degree distributions $P (k) \sim k^{-\gamma}$ of exponents $2<\gamma<3$. Two…
We consider the contact process on finite and connected graphs and study the behavior of the extinction time, that is, the amount of time that it takes for the infection to disappear in the process started from full occupancy. We prove,…
We study the Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible model of the spread of an endemic infection. We calculate an exact expression for the mean number of transmissions for all values of the population and the infectivity. We derive the large-N…
Given a random 3-uniform hypergraph $H=H(n,p)$ on $n$ vertices where each triple independently appears with probability $p$, consider the following graph process. We start with the star $G_0$ on the same vertex set, containing all the edges…
In this paper we are concerned with the Susceptible-Infective-Removed model with random transition rates on complete graphs $C_n$ with $n$ vertices. We assign i. i. d. copies of a positive random variable $\xi$ on each vertex as the…