Related papers: A generalization of Cram\'{e}r large deviations fo…
In this paper we propose an objective Bayesian estimation approach for the parameters of the generalized gamma distribution. Various reference priors are obtained, but showing that they lead to improper posterior distributions. We overcome…
Fractional generalization of an exterior derivative for calculus of variations is defined. The Hamilton and Lagrange approaches are considered. Fractional Hamilton and Euler-Lagrange equations are derived. Fractional equations of motion are…
We prove a large deviation principle for stochastic differential equations driven by semimartingales, with additive controls. Conditions are given in terms of characteristics of driven semimartingales, so that if the noise-control pairs…
Renz (Ann. Probab. 1996) has established a rate of convergence $1/\sqrt{n}$ in the central limit theorem for martingales with some restrictive conditions. In the present paper a modification of the methods, developed by Bolthausen (Ann.…
Rare transitions in stochastic processes can often be rigorously described via an underlying large deviation principle. Recent breakthroughs in the classification of reversible stochastic processes as gradient flows have led to a connection…
We derive a Dickman approximation for the small jumps of a large class of multivariate L\'evy processes. We then apply this approximation to develop a simulation method for the class of general multivariate gamma distributions (GMGD). A…
The reparameterization gradient has become a widely used method to obtain Monte Carlo gradients to optimize the variational objective. However, this technique does not easily apply to commonly used distributions such as beta or gamma…
We prove large deviation principles for two versions of fractional Poisson processes. Firstly we consider the main version which is a renewal process; we also present large deviation estimates for the ruin probabilities of an insurance…
We introduce and test an algorithm that adaptively estimates large deviation functions characterizing the fluctuations of additive functionals of Markov processes in the long-time limit. These functions play an important role for predicting…
Let $(\eta_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of $\psi$-mixing random variables. Let $m=\lfloor n^\alpha \rfloor, 0< \alpha < 1, k=\lfloor n/(2m) \rfloor,$ and $Y_j = \sum_{i=1}^m \eta_{m(j-1)+i}, 1\leq j \leq k.$ Set $ S_k^o=\sum_{j=1}^{k } Y_j $…
In this paper, using techniques developed in our earlier works on the theory of mod-Gaussian convergence, we prove precise moderate and large deviation results for the logarithm of the characteristic polynomial of a random unitary matrix.…
We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…
The multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) approach of Friedman (1991) and its Bayesian counterpart (Francom et al. 2018) are effective approaches for the emulation of computer models. The traditional assumption of Gaussian errors…
In this paper we introduce a novel Bayesian data augmentation approach for estimating the parameters of the generalised logistic regression model. We propose a P\'olya-Gamma sampler algorithm that allows us to sample from the exact…
This paper provides a large deviation principle for Non-Markovian, Brownian motion driven stochastic differential equations with random coefficients. Similar to Gao and Liu \cite{GL}, this extends the corresponding results collected in…
When expanding a filtration with a stochastic process it is easily possible for semimartingale no longer to remain semimartingales in the enlarged filtration. Y. Kchia and P. Protter indicated a way to avoid this pitfall in 2015, but they…
We show that bilinear variational estimates of Do, Muscalu, and Thiele (arXiv:1009.5187) remain valid for a pair of general martingales with respect to the same filtration. Our result can also be viewed as an off-diagonal generalization of…
A method for large scale Gaussian process classification has been recently proposed based on expectation propagation (EP). Such a method allows Gaussian process classifiers to be trained on very large datasets that were out of the reach of…
We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…
Large deviation principles and related results are given for a class of Markov chains associated to the "leaves" in random recursive trees and preferential attachment random graphs, as well as the "cherries" in Yule trees. In particular,…