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By using the conjugate distribution technique of Cram\'er, we obtain some expansions of large deviation probabilities for martingales with differences satisfying the conditional Bernstein's condition. The expansions are of the same order as…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Cram\'er's moderate deviations give a quantitative estimate for the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many estimator used in statistics. In this paper, we establish self-normalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

Using changes of probability measure developed by \mbox{Grama} and Haeusler (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000), we obtain two generalizations of the deviation inequalities of Lanzinger and Stadtm\"{u}ller (Stochastic Process.\ Appl., 2000)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

Cram\'{e}r-type large deviations for means of samples from a finite population are established under weak conditions. The results are comparable to results for the so-called self-normalized large deviation for independent random variables.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Zhishui Hu , John Robinson , Qiying Wang

We give a Cram\'{e}r moderate deviation expansion for martingales with differences having finite conditional moments of order $2+\rho, \rho \in (0,1],$ and finite one-sided conditional exponential moments. The upper bound of the range of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n\xi_i $ and $[ S]_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i^2.$ We prove a Cram\'er type moderate deviation expansion for $\mathbf{P}(S_n/\sqrt{[ S]_n} \geq x)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-11 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu , Qi-Man Shao

In this paper, we propose a new approach to the investigation of asymptotic properties of trimmed $L$-statistics and we apply it to the Cram\'{e}r type large deviation problem. Our results can be compared with ones in Callaert et al.(1982)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Nadezhda Gribkova

A Cram\'er-type moderate deviation theorem quantifies the relative error of the tail probability approximation. It provides theoretical justification when the limiting tail probability can be used to estimate the tail probability under…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Qi-Man Shao , Mengchen Zhang , Zhuo-Song Zhang

In [11] it has been proved some variational formula on the Legendre-Fenchel transform of the cumulant generating function (the Cram\'er function) of Rademacher series with coefficients in the space $\ell^1$. In this paper we show a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Krzysztof Zajkowski

We extend some sharp inequalities for martingale-differences to general multiplicative systems of random variables. The key ingredient in the proofs is a technique reducing the general case to the case of Rademacher random variables without…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Grigori A. Karagulyan

Establishing a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) proves to be a powerful result for a vast number of stochastic models in many application areas of probability theory. The key object of an LDP is the large deviations rate function, from which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-23 Ken R. Duffy , Brendan D. Williamson

This is a translation of Harald Cram\'er's article, 'On a new limit theorem in probability theory', published in French in 1938 and deriving what is considered by mathematicians to be the first large deviation result. My hope is that this…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Harald Cramér , Hugo Touchette

We present here a simple method for computing the large deviation of long time average for stochastic jump processes. We show that the computation of the rate function can be reduced to that of a partial differential equation governing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

We study the large deviation probabilities of infinite weighted sums of independent random variables that have stretched exponential tails. This generalizes Kiesel and Stadtm\"uller (2000), who study the same objects under the assumption of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Frank Aurzada

We consider the problem of detecting a general sparse mixture and obtain an explicit characterization of the phase transition under some conditions, generalizing the univariate results of Cai and Wu. Additionally, we provide a sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Subhodh Kotekal

Under a Zariski density assumption, we extend the classical theorem of Cramer on large deviations of sums of iid real random variables to random matrix products.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Cagri Sert

Let $(Z_n)_{n\geq0}$ be a supercritical Galton-Watson process. The Lotka-Nagaev estimator $Z_{n+1}/Z_n$ is a common estimator for the offspring mean.In this paper, we establish some Cram\'{e}r moderate deviation results for the Lotka-Nagaev…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Paul Doukhan , Xiequan Fan , Zhi-Qiang Gao

Here presented is a unified approach to Stirling numbers and their generalizations as well as generalized Stirling functions by using generalized factorial functions, $k$-Gamma functions, and generalized divided difference. Previous…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Tian-Xiao He

We prove that the enumerative polynomials of generalized Stirling permutations by the statistics of plateaux, descents and ascents are partial $\gamma$-positive. Specialization of our result to the Jacobi-Stirling permutations confirms a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Zhicong Lin , Jun Ma , Philip B. Zhang
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