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Let $x_1, \dots, x_n$ be $n$ independent and identically distributed random variables with mean zero, unit variance, and finite moments of all remaining orders. We study the random polynomial $p_n$ having roots at $x_1, \dots, x_n$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Jeremy G. Hoskins , Stefan Steinerberger

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We consider a basic problem in unsupervised learning: learning an unknown \emph{Poisson Binomial Distribution}. A Poisson Binomial Distribution (PBD) over $\{0,1,\dots,n\}$ is the distribution of a sum of $n$ independent Bernoulli random…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-02-18 Constantinos Daskalakis , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio

Suppose that there are n bins, and balls arrive in a Poisson process at rate \lambda n, where \lambda >0 is a constant. Upon arrival, each ball chooses a fixed number d of random bins, and is placed into one with least load. Balls have…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Malwina J. Luczak , Colin McDiarmid

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

Let $\mathcal{F}_{n}^*$ be the set of Boolean functions depending on all $n$ variables. We prove that for any $f\in \mathcal{F}_{n}^*$, $f|_{x_i=0}$ or $f|_{x_i=1}$ depends on the remaining $n-1$ variables, for some variable $x_i$. This…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-02-05 Chia-Jung Lee , Satya V. Lokam , Shi-Chun Tsai , Ming-Chuan Yang

Two old conjectures from problem sections, one of which from SIAM Review, concern the question of finding distributions that maximize P(Sn <= t), where Sn is the sum of i.i.d. random variables X1, ..., Xn on the interval [0,1], satisfying…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-13 Ludolf E. Meester

We study extreme value statistics of multiple sequences of random variables. For each sequence with N variables, independently drawn from the same distribution, the running maximum is defined as the largest variable to date. We compare the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-12-30 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , N. W. Lemons

We derive in this article the asymptotic behavior as well as non-asymptotical estimates of tail of distribution for self-normalized sums of random variables (r.v.) under natural classical norming. We investigate also the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-10 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We introduce a nonasymptotic framework for sub-Poisson distributions with moment generating function dominated by that of a Poisson distribution. At its core is a new notion of optimal sub-Poisson variance proxy, analogous to the variance…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Lasse Leskelä , Ian Välimaa

The exact expression is derived for the expected value, $< {p_i}> $, for the parameter for any bin $i$ of a histogram following a multinomial distribution derived by sorting $N$ observations into bins of $B$ classes, if $n_i$ of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-18 Jonathan M. Friedman

A bound for functional $\Delta(F)=\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|F(x)-\Phi(x)|$ is obtained, which is uniform for all distribution functions $F$ of random variables with zero mean-value and unity variance. Moreover, a two-point distribution is found,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-19 V. I. Chebotarev , A. S. Kondrik , K. V. Mikhaylov

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

In this article, we discuss a bivariate distribution whose conditionals are univariate binomial distributions and the marginals are not binomial that exhibits negative correlation. Some useful structural properties of this distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-10 Indranil Ghosh , Filipe Marques , Subrata Chakraborty

In this paper, we first use the distribution of the number of records to demonstrate that the right tail probabilities of counts of rare events are generally better approximated by the right tail probabilities of Poisson distribution than…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 Qingwei Liu , Aihua Xia

In this paper we consider the maximum principle of optimal control for a stochastic control problem. This problem is governed by a system of fully coupled multi-dimensional forward-backward doubly stochastic differential equation with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-07 AbdulRahman Al-Hussein , Boulakhras Gherbal

A general maximum principle is proved for optimal controls of abstract semilinear stochastic evolution equations. The control variable, as well as linear unbounded operators, acts in both drift and diffusion terms, and the control set need…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Kai Du , Qingxin Meng

We present precise bit and degree estimates for the optimal value of the polynomial optimization problem $f^*:=\text{inf}_{x\in \mathscr{X}}~f(x)$, where $\mathscr{X}$ is a semi-algebraic set satisfying some non-degeneracy conditions. Our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Boulos El Hilany , Elias Tsigaridas

We study a new family of random variables, that each arise as the distribution of the maximum or minimum of a random number $N$ of i.i.d.~random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_N$, each distributed as a variable $X$ with support on $[0,1]$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-07 Jie Hao , Anant Godbole

Best possible bounds are established for families without s pairwise disjoint members and the more general problem for several families. The results are shown to apply several classical results.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-24 Peter Frankl