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We study two models of growing recursive trees. For both models, initially the tree only contains one vertex $u_1$ and at each time $n\geq 2$ a new vertex $u_n$ is added to the tree and its parent is chosen randomly according to some rule.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Delphin Sénizergues

Top-down induction of decision trees has been observed to suffer from the inadequate functioning of the pruning phase. In particular, it is known that the size of the resulting tree grows linearly with the sample size, even though the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-06 T. Elomaa , M. Kaariainen

There is a widespread and longstanding belief that machine learning models are biased towards the majority class when learning from imbalanced binary response data, leading them to neglect or ignore the minority class. Motivated by a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

While circular data occur in a wide range of scientific fields, the methodology for distributional modeling and probabilistic forecasting of circular response variables is rather limited. Most of the existing methods are built on the…

We propose novel model transfer-learning methods that refine a decision forest model M learned within a "source" domain using a training set sampled from a "target" domain, assumed to be a variation of the source. We present two random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Noam Segev , Maayan Harel , Shie Mannor , Koby Crammer , Ran El-Yaniv

Classification and Regression Tree (CART), Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting Tree (GBT) are probably the most popular set of statistical learning methods. However, their statistical consistency can only be proved under very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Haoran Zhan , Yu Liu , Yingcun Xia

The class of self-nested trees presents remarkable compression properties because of the systematic repetition of subtrees in their structure. In this paper, we provide a better combinatorial characterization of this specific family of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Durand , Christophe Godin

In classification and forecasting with tabular data, one often utilizes tree-based models. Those can be competitive with deep neural networks on tabular data and, under some conditions, explainable. The explainability depends on the depth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Jiri Nemecek , Tomas Pevny , Jakub Marecek

Oblique decision trees combine the transparency of trees with the power of multivariate decision boundaries, but learning high-quality oblique splits is NP-hard, and practical methods still rely on slow search or theory-free heuristics. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-01 Hongyi Li , Han Lin , Jun Xu

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees [BART, Chipman et al., 2010] have gained significant popularity due to their remarkable predictive performance and ability to quantify uncertainty. However, standard decision tree models rely on recursive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-20 Stamatina Lamprinakou , Huiyan Sang , Bledar A. Konomi , Ligang Lu

We develop a skew-adaptive extension of split conformal prediction for regression. The method starts from an asymmetric interval family centered at a point prediction and uses the gauge approach to deduce the conformity score induced by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Paulo C. Marques F. , Helton Graziadei

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ingo Steinwart , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Philipp Thomann

Many asymptotically minimax procedures for function estimation often rely on somewhat arbitrary and restrictive assumptions such as isotropy or spatial homogeneity. This work enhances the theoretical understanding of Bayesian additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Seonghyun Jeong , Veronika Rockova

Decision trees are popular in survival analysis for their interpretability and ability to model complex relationships. Survival trees, which predict the timing of singular events using censored historical data, are typically built through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Antonio Consolo , Edoardo Amaldi , Emilio Carrizosa

Sparse decision tree learning provides accurate and interpretable predictive models that are ideal for high-stakes applications by finding the single most accurate tree within a (soft) size limit. Rather than relying on a single "best"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Elif Arslan , Jacobus G. M. van der Linden , Serge Hoogendoorn , Marco Rinaldi , Emir Demirović

Recently proposed budding tree is a decision tree algorithm in which every node is part internal node and part leaf. This allows representing every decision tree in a continuous parameter space, and therefore a budding tree can be jointly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-22 Ozan İrsoy , Ethem Alpaydın

Random forests are a statistical learning method widely used in many areas of scientific research because of its ability to learn complex relationships between input and output variables and also its capacity to handle high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-19 Louis Capitaine , Jérémie Bigot , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Robin Genuer

By seeking the narrowest prediction intervals (PIs) that satisfy the specified coverage probability requirements, the recently proposed quality-based PI learning principle can extract high-quality PIs that better summarize the predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Lin Zhu , Jiaxing Lu , Yihong Chen

Introduced by Breiman, Random Forests are widely used classification and regression algorithms. While being initially designed as batch algorithms, several variants have been proposed to handle online learning. One particular instance of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-10 Jaouad Mourtada , Stéphane Gaïffas , Erwan Scornet

Asymptotic behaviour of maximum sizes of induced trees and forests has been studied extensively in last decades, though the overall picture is far from being complete. In this paper, we close several significant gaps: 1) We prove $2$-point…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Margarita Akhmejanova , Vladislav Kozhevnikov , Maksim Zhukovskii