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When do nonparametric Bayesian procedures ``overfit''? To shed light on this question, we consider a binary regression problem in detail and establish frequentist consistency for a certain class of Bayes procedures based on hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc Coram , Steven P. Lalley

In this paper, we consider Bayesian hypothesis testing for the balanced one-way random effects model. A special choice of the prior formulation for the ratio of variance components is shown to yield an explicit closed-form Bayes factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-27 Min Wang , Xiaoqian Sun

In this paper, we propose a simple and easy-to-implement Bayesian hypothesis test for the presence of an association, described by Kendall's \tau coefficient, between two variables measured on at least an ordinal scale. Owing to the absence…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Shen Zhang , Keying Ye , Min Wang

The development of prior distributions for Bayesian regression has traditionally been driven by the goal of achieving sensible model selection and parameter estimation. The formalization of properties that characterize good performance has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-14 Agniva Som , Christopher M. Hans , Steven N. MacEachern

We propose that Bayesian variable selection for linear parametrisations with Gaussian iid likelihoods be based on the spherical symmetry of the diagonalised parameter space. Our r-prior results in closed forms for the evidence for four…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-11 M. B. De Kock , H. C. Eggers

We consider variable selection problem in linear regression using mixture of $g$-priors. A number of mixtures are proposed in the literature which work well, especially when the number of regressors $p$ is fixed. In this paper, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Minerva Mukhopadhyay

The multivariate normal linear model is one of the most widely employed models for statistical inference in applied research. Special cases include (multivariate) t testing, (M)AN(C)OVA, (multivariate) multiple regression, and repeated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 J. Mulder , H. Hoijtink , X. Gu

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We discuss model selection to determine whether the variance-covariance matrix of a multivariate Gaussian model with known mean should be considered to be a constant diagonal, a non-constant diagonal, or an arbitrary positive definite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-05 Zachary M. Pisano , Daniel Q. Naiman , Carey E. Priebe

The choice of tuning parameters in Bayesian variable selection is a critical problem in modern statistics. In particular, for Bayesian linear regression with non-local priors, the scale parameter in the non-local prior density is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-25 Xuan Cao , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

Uncovering genuine relationships between a response variable of interest and a large collection of covariates is a fundamental and practically important problem. In the context of Gaussian linear models, both the Bayesian and non-Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Jeyong Lee , Minwoo Chae , Ryan Martin

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor from prior to posterior odds, is a principled measure of relative evidence for two competing hypotheses. It is naturally suited to sequential data analysis in settings such as clinical trials…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-07 Samuel Pawel , Leonhard Held

The remarkable generalization performance of large-scale models has been challenging the conventional wisdom of the statistical learning theory. Although recent theoretical studies have shed light on this behavior in linear models and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Tomoya Wakayama

We outline a new method to compute the Bayes Factor for model selection which bypasses the Bayesian Evidence. Our method combines multiple models into a single, nested, Supermodel using one or more hyperparameters. Since the models are now…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-09 A. Mootoovaloo , Bruce A. Bassett , M. Kunz

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

As a principled dimension reduction technique, factor models have been widely adopted in social science, economics, bioinformatics, and many other fields. However, in high-dimensional settings, conducting a 'correct' Bayesianfactor analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Yucong Ma , Jun S. Liu

Recently, several researchers have claimed that conclusions obtained from a Bayes factor (or the posterior odds) may contradict those obtained from Bayesian posterior estimation. In this short paper, we wish to point out that no such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

Bayesian model selection procedures based on nonlocal alternative prior densities are extended to ultrahigh dimensional settings and compared to other variable selection procedures using precision-recall curves. Variable selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-19 Minsuk Shin , Anirban Bhattacharya , Valen E. Johnson

Sparseness of the regression coefficient vector is often a desirable property, since, among other benefits, sparseness improves interpretability. In practice, many true regression coefficients might be negligibly small, but non-zero, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Daniel Andrade , Kenji Fukumizu

This paper addresses the estimation of the nonparametric conditional moment restricted model that involves an infinite-dimensional parameter $g_0$. We estimate it in a quasi-Bayesian way, based on the limited information likelihood, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang