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To improve the forecasts of weather extremes, we propose a joint spatial model for the observations and the forecasts, based on a bivariate Brown-Resnick process. As the class of stationary bivariate Brown-Resnick processes is fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-01 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather , Petra Friederichs

Max-stable processes are widely used to model spatial extremes. These processes exhibit asymptotic dependence meaning that the large values of the process can occur simultaneously over space. Recently, inverted max-stable processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

Likelihood inference for max-stable random fields is in general impossible because their finite-dimensional probability density functions are unknown or cannot be computed efficiently. The weighted composite likelihood approach that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Nicolas Chenavier , Christian Y. Robert

Generalized Brown-Resnick processes form a flexible class of stationary max-stable processes based on Gaussian random fields. With regard to applications fast and accurate simulation of these processes is an important issue. In fact,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Marco Oesting

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather

Environmental data science for spatial extremes has traditionally relied heavily on max-stable processes. Even though the popularity of these models has perhaps peaked with statisticians, they are still perceived and considered as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer Wadsworth

Spatial-temporal linear model and the corresponding likelihood-based statistical inference are important tools for the analysis of spatial-temporal lattice data. In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Xiang Zhang , Yanbing Zheng

Likelihood inference for max-stable random fields is in general impossible because their finite-dimen\-sional probability density functions are unknown or cannot be computed efficiently. The weighted composite likelihood approach that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Nicolas Chenavier , Christian Y. Robert

Max-stable processes are a common choice for modelling spatial extreme data as they arise naturally as the infinite-dimensional generalisation of multivariate extreme value theory. Statistical inference for such models is complicated by the…

We show how to perform full likelihood inference for max-stable multivariate distributions or processes based on a stochastic Expectation-Maximisation algorithm, which combines statistical and computational efficiency in high-dimensions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-17 Raphaël Huser , Clément Dombry , Mathieu Ribatet , Marc G. Genton

Being the max-analogue of $\alpha$-stable stochastic processes, max-stable processes form one of the fundamental classes of stochastic processes. With the arrival of sufficient computational capabilities, they have become a benchmark in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-18 Marco Oesting , Kirstin Strokorb

We consider the class of simple Brown-Resnick max-stable processes whose spectral processes are continuous exponential martingales. We develop the asymptotic theory for the realized power variations of these max-stable processes, that is,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Christian Y. Robert

We consider expected performances based on max-stable random fields and we are interested in their derivatives with respect to the spatial dependence parameters of those fields. Max-stable fields, such as the Brown--Resnick and Smith…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-04 Erwan Koch , Christian Y. Robert

We propose an exact simulation method for Brown-Resnick random fields, building on new representations for these stationary max-stable fields. The main idea is to apply suitable changes of measure.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-17 A. B. Dieker , T. Mikosch

Parametric max-stable processes are increasingly used to model spatial extremes. Starting from the fact that the dependence structure of a max-stable process is completely characterized by an extreme-value copula, a class of goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-27 Ivan Kojadinovic , Hongwei Shang , Jun Yan

Sup-normalized spectral functions form building blocks of max-stable and Pareto processes and therefore play an important role in modeling spatial extremes. For one of the most popular examples, the Brown-Resnick process, simulation is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-26 Marco Oesting , Martin Schlather , Claudia Schillings

Max-stable processes have proved to be useful for the statistical modelling of spatial extremes. Several representations of max-stable random fields have been proposed in the literature. For statistical inference it is often assumed that…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-25 Richard A. Davis , Claudia Klüppelberg , Christina Steinkohl

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-02 Emily C. Hector , Brian J. Reich

Extreme value analysis is an essential methodology in the study of rare and extreme events, which hold significant interest in various fields, particularly in the context of environmental sciences. Models that employ the exceedances of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Lorenzo Dell'Oro , Carlo Gaetan