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This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jinzhu Li , Qihe Tang

We consider an investor who is dynamically informed about the future evolution of one of the independent Brownian motions driving a stock's price fluctuations. With linear temporary price impact the resulting optimal investment problem with…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-13 Peter Bank , Yan Dolinsky

We consider minimizing the probability of falling below a target growth rate of the wealth process up to a time horizon $T$ in an incomplete market model, and then study the asymptotic behavior of minimizing probability as $T\to\infty$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-04 Hideo Nagai

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

We use one-step conditional risk mappings to formulate a risk averse version of a total cost problem on a controlled Markov process in discrete time infinite horizon. The nonnegative one step costs are assumed to be lower semi-continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Kerem Ugurlu

In this paper, we consider the asset-liability management under the mean-variance criterion. The financial market consists of a risk-free bond and a stock whose price process is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion. The liability of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-05-01 Qian Zhao , Jiaqin Wei , Rongming Wang

We study the problem of optimal risk policies and dividend strategies for an insurance company operating under the constraint that the timing of shareholder payouts is governed by the arrival times of a Poisson process. Concurrently, risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Mark Kelbert , Harold A. Moreno-Franco

Throughout this paper, we focused our aim on the problem of optimal control under a risk-sensitive performance functional, where the system is given by a fully coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equation with jump. The risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Rania Khallout , Adel Chala

This paper studies the model risk of the Black-Scholes (BS) model in pricing and risk-managing variable annuities motivated by its wide usage in the insurance industry. Specifically, we derive a model-free decomposition of the no-arbitrage…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-30 Zhiyi Shen

This paper studies a sequential decision problem where payoff distributions are known and where the riskiness of payoffs matters. Equivalently, it studies sequential choice from a repeated set of independent lotteries. The decision-maker is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-01-02 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein , Guodong Zhang

Zero sum games with risk-sensitive cost criterion are considered with underlying dynamics being given by controlled stochastic differential equations. Under the assumption of geometric stability on the dynamics , we completely characterize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Anup Biswas , Subhamay Saha

In this paper, we investigate dynamic optimization problems featuring both stochastic control and optimal stopping in a finite time horizon. The paper aims to develop new methodologies, which are significantly different from those of mixed…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-27 Xiongfei Jian , Xun Li , Fahuai Yi

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) is suitable for safety-critical domains where online exploration is too costly or dangerous. In such safety-critical settings, decision-making should take into consideration the risk of catastrophic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Marc Rigter , Bruno Lacerda , Nick Hawes

We consider the problem of controlling an unknown linear dynamical system in the presence of (nonstochastic) adversarial perturbations and adversarial convex loss functions. In contrast to classical control, the a priori determination of an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Elad Hazan , Sham M. Kakade , Karan Singh

With the growing interest in deploying robots in unstructured and uncertain environments, there has been increasing interest in factoring risk into safety-critical control development. Similarly, the authors believe risk should also be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-08 Prithvi Akella , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Aaron D. Ames

We study the problem of optimally managing an inventory with unknown demand trend. Our formulation leads to a stochastic control problem under partial observation, in which a Brownian motion with non-observable drift can be singularly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Salvatore Federico , Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

In this article we solve the problem of maximizing the expected utility of future consumption and terminal wealth to determine the optimal pension or life-cycle fund strategy for a cohort of pension fund investors. The setup is strongly…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-03 Andreas Lichtenstern , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Rudi Zagst

In this work we seek for an approach to integrate safety in the learning process that relies on a partly known state-space model of the system and regards the unknown dynamics as an additive bounded disturbance. We introduce a framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Stanislav Fedorov , Antonio Candelieri

This paper studies the problem of optimal investment in incomplete markets, robust with respect to stopping times. We work on a Brownian motion framework and the stopping times are adapted to the Brownian filtration. Robustness can only be…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Traian A Pirvu , Ulrich G Haussmann