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In this report we present two new ways of enforcing monotone constraints in regression and classification trees. One yields better results than the current LightGBM, and has a similar computation time. The other one yields even better…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Charles Auguste , Sean Malory , Ivan Smirnov

Many natural processes exhibit power-law behavior. The power-law exponent is linked to the underlying physical process and therefore its precise value is of interest. With respect to the energy content of nanoflares, for example, a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-05-24 Elke D'Huys , David Berghmans , Daniel B. Seaton , Stefaan Poedts

Distribution shifts are ubiquitous in real-world machine learning applications, posing a challenge to the generalization of models trained on one data distribution to another. We focus on scenarios where data distributions vary across…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Steven Wilkins-Reeves , Xu Chen , Qi Ma , Christine Agarwal , Aude Hofleitner

Classical tests are available for the two-sample test of correspondence of distribution functions. From these, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test provides also the graphical interpretation of the test results, in different forms. Here, we propose…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Konstantinos Konstantinou , Tomáš Mrkvička , Mari Myllymäki

An a posteriori estimate for the error of a standard Krylov approximation to the matrix exponential is derived. The estimate is based on the defect (residual) of the Krylov approximation and is proven to constitute a rigorous upper bound on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-03 Tobias Jawecki , Winfried Auzinger , Othmar Koch

Solving a large-scale system of linear equations is a key step at the heart of many algorithms in machine learning, scientific computing, and beyond. When the problem dimension is large, computational and/or memory constraints make it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-12 Navid Azizan-Ruhi , Farshad Lahouti , Salman Avestimehr , Babak Hassibi

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-15 Chunrong Ai , Oliver Linton , Zheng Zhang

Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

Estimating the probabilistic Worst-Case Execution Time (pWCET) is essential for ensuring the timing correctness of real-time applications, such as in robot IoT systems and autonomous driving systems. While methods based on Extreme Value…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Hayate Toba , Atsushi Yano , Takuya Azumi

Consider two problems about an unknown probability distribution $p$: 1. How many samples from $p$ are required to test if $p$ is supported on $n$ elements or not? Specifically, given samples from $p$, determine whether it is supported on at…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Renato Ferreira Pinto , Nathaniel Harms

The aim of the present work is to show that the results obtained earlier on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by infinitely divisible laws may be transferred to the estimation of the closeness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Friedrich Götze , Andrei Yu. Zaitsev , Dmitry Zaporozhets

Estimation of mutual information between (multidimensional) real-valued variables is used in analysis of complex systems, biological systems, and recently also quantum systems. This estimation is a hard problem, and universally good…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-14 Caroline M. Holmes , Ilya Nemenman

We investigate the problem of best policy identification in discounted linear Markov Decision Processes in the fixed confidence setting under a generative model. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound on the expected number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Jerome Taupin , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

The method of stable random projections is a tool for efficiently computing the $l_\alpha$ distances using low memory, where $0<\alpha \leq 2$ is a tuning parameter. The method boils down to a statistical estimation task and various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Ping Li

Many management decisions involve accumulated random realizations for which only the first and second moments of their distribution are available. The sharp Chebyshev-type bound for the tail probability and Scarf bound for the expected loss…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-15 Zhaolin Li , Artem Prokhorov

We provide optimal lower bounds for two well-known parameter estimation (also known as statistical estimation) tasks in high dimensions with approximate differential privacy. First, we prove that for any $\alpha \le O(1)$, estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Shyam Narayanan

A multiplicative stochastic process with the lower bound lognormally distributed is investigated. For the process, the model is constructed, and its distribution function (involving four parameters) and the related statistical properties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-19 Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

Chebyshev's inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Ernst Roos , Ruud Brekelmans , Wouter van Eekelen , Dick den Hertog , Johan van Leeuwaarden

We use Stein's method to prove a generalization of the Lindeberg-Feller CLT providing an upper and a lower bound for the superior limit of the Kolmogorov distance between a normally distributed random variable and the rowwise sums of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Ben Berckmoes , Bob Lowen , Jan Van Casteren
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