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This paper presents a novel approach to measuring statistical dependence between two random processes (r.p.) using a positive-definite function called the Normalized Cross Density (NCD). NCD is derived directly from the probability density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Bo Hu , Jose C. Principe

Condensation is the phenomenon whereby one of a sum of random variables contributes a finite fraction to the sum. It is manifested as an aggregation phenomenon in diverse physical systems such as coalescence in granular media, jamming in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-20 Juraj Szavits-Nossan , Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

Cascades of Poisson processes are probabilistic models for spatio-temporal phenomena in which (i) previous events may trigger subsequent events, and (ii) both the background and triggering processes are conditionally Poisson. Such phenomena…

Applications · Statistics 2015-07-14 Chris. J. Oates

We define multideterminantal probability measures, a family of probability measures on $[k]^n$ where $[k]=\{1,2,\dots,k\}$, generalizing determinantal measures (which correspond to the case $k=2$). We give examples coming from the positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Richard Kenyon

Linearizing the Heisenberg equations of motion around the ground state of an interacting quantum many-body system, one gets a time-evolution generator in the positive cone of a real symplectic Lie algebra. The presence of disorder in the…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 T. Lueck , H. -J. Sommers , M. R. Zirnbauer

Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) are given for a general class of multidimensional causal processes. For particular cases already studied in the literature (for instance univariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-09 Jean-Marc Bardet , Olivier Wintenberger

We present an analytical approach to determining the expected cascade size in a broad range of dynamical models on the class of random networks with arbitrary degree distribution and nonzero clustering introduced in [M.E.J. Newman, Phys.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-06 Adam Hackett , Sergey Melnik , James P. Gleeson

The Boltzmann-Gibbs probability distributions generated by logarithmically correlated random potentials provide a simple yet nontrivial example of disorder-induced multifractal measures. We introduce and discuss two analytically tractable…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-14 Yan V Fyodorov

This PhD thesis contains several contributions to the field of statistical causal modeling. Statistical causal models are statistical models embedded with causal assumptions that allow for the inference and reasoning about the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-05 Martin Emil Jakobsen

We study a hierarchy of directed percolation (DP) processes for particle species A, B, ..., unidirectionally coupled via the reactions A -> B, ... When the DP critical points at all levels coincide, multicritical behavior emerges, with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 Uwe C. Täuber , Martin J. Howard , Haye Hinrichsen

Under the formalism of annealed averaging of the partition function, a type of random multifractal measures with their multipliers satisfying exponentially distributed is investigated in detail. Branching emerges in the curve of generalized…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Wei-Xing Zhou , Zun-Hong yu

In this work, we consider the sample complexity required for testing the monotonicity of distributions over partial orders. A distribution $p$ over a poset is monotone if, for any pair of domain elements $x$ and $y$ such that $x \preceq y$,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Themis Gouleakis , John Peebles , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Anak Yodpinyanee

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

This work addresses the problem of computing measures of recognisable sets of infinite trees. An algorithm is provided to compute the probability measure of a tree language recognisable by a weak alternating automaton, or equivalently…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Damian Niwiński , Marcin Przybyłko , Michał Skrzypczak

This announcement describes a probabilistic approach to cascades which, in addition to providing an entirely probabilistic proof of the Kahane-Peyri\`ere theorem for independent cascades, readily applies to general dependent cascades.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-25 Edward C. Waymire , Stanley C. Williams

Statistical inference for stochastic block models typically relies on the spectrum of the normalized adjacency matrix $\A^*$. In practice, the true probability matrix $\mathbf{B}$ is unknown and must be replaced by a plug-in estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Jianwei Hu , Ding Chen , Ji Zhu

Let $T$ be a tree with induced partial order $\preceq$. We investigate centered Gaussian processes $X=(X_t)_{t\in T}$ represented as $$ X_t=\sigma(t)\sum_{v \preceq t}\alpha(v)\xi_v $$ for given weight functions $\alpha$ and $\sigma$ on $T$…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-04 Mikhail Lifshits , Werner Linde

We study the relationship between two measures of pseudorandomness for families of binary sequences: family complexity and cross-correlation measure introduced by Ahlswede et al.\ in 2003 and recently by Gyarmati et al., respectively. More…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-22 Arne Winterhof , Oğuz Yayla

This paper deals with studying vague convergence of random measures of the form $\mu_{n}=\sum_{i=1}^{n} p_{i,n} \delta_{\theta_i}$, where $(\theta_i)_{1\le i \le n}$ is a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Luai Al-Labadi

We develop dependent hierarchical normalized random measures and apply them to dynamic topic modeling. The dependency arises via superposition, subsampling and point transition on the underlying Poisson processes of these measures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Changyou Chen , Nan Ding , Wray Buntine