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Related papers: Asymptotics for in-sample density forecasting

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In this article densities (and their derivatives) of subordinators and inverse subordinators are considered. Under minor restrictions, generally milder than the existing in the literature, using a useful modification of the saddle point…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Giacomo Ascione , Mladen Savov , Bruno Toaldo

Topological data analysis (TDA) allows us to explore the topological features of a dataset. Among topological features, lower dimensional ones have recently drawn the attention of practitioners in mathematics and statistics due to their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Hengrui Luo , Steve N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

This paper provides conditions under which subsampling and the bootstrap can be used to construct estimators of the quantiles of the distribution of a root that behave well uniformly over a large class of distributions $\mathbf{P}$. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Near-Gaussian probability densities are common in many important physical applications. Here we develop an asymptotic expansion methodology for computing entropic functionals for such densities. The expansion proposed is a close relative of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Gordon V. Chavez , Richard Kleeman

Density-based clustering relies on the idea of linking groups to some specific features of the probability distribution underlying the data. The reference to a true, yet unknown, population structure allows to frame the clustering problem…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Alessandro Casa , José E. Chacón , Giovanna Menardi

In this paper, we propose new semiparametric procedures for making inference on linear functionals and their functions of two semicontinuous populations. The distribution of each population is usually characterized by a mixture of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Meng Yuan , Chunlin Wang , Boxi Lin , Pengfei Li

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. The model considered in the paper is very general as we do not impose any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

The sizes of subsets of the natural numbers are typically quantified in terms of asymptotic (linear) and logarithmic densities. These concepts have been generalized to weighted $w$-densities, where a specific weight function $w$ plays a key…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-03-13 Janne Heittokangas , Zinelaabidine Latreuch

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Here we define natural chaotic systems, like the earths weather and climate system, as chaotic systems which are open to the world so have constantly changing boundary conditions, and measurements of their states are subject to errors. In…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-09-24 Michael LuValle

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

We investigate causal inference in the asymptotic regime as the number of variables approaches infinity using an information-theoretic framework. We define structural entropy of a causal model in terms of its description complexity measured…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Sridhar Mahadevan

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation and testing for a multivariate monotone density. Instead of following the conventional Bayesian route of putting a prior distribution complying with the monotonicity restriction,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

Predictive mean matching imputation is popular for handling item nonresponse in survey sampling. In this article, we study the asymptotic properties of the predictive mean matching estimator of the population mean. For variance estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-16 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

A finite set is "hidden" if its elements are not directly enumerable or if its size cannot be ascertained via a deterministic query. In public health, epidemiology, demography, ecology and intelligence analysis, researchers have developed a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Si Cheng , Daniel J. Eck , Forrest W. Crawford

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

Let $S$ be a finite set, and $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ an i.i.d. uniform sample from $S$. To estimate the size $|S|$, without further structure, one can wait for repeats and use the birthday problem. This requires a sample size of the order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis , Susan Holmes

This paper establishes the global asymptotic equivalence between a Poisson process with variable intensity and white noise with drift under sharp smoothness conditions on the unknown function. This equivalence is also extended to density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lawrence D. Brown , Andrew V. Carter , Mark G. Low , Cun-Hui Zhang
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