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The estimation of causal effects is a fundamental goal in the field of causal inference. However, it is challenging for various reasons. One reason is that the exposure (or treatment) is naturally continuous in many real-world scenarios.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Suhwan Bong , Kwonsang Lee

We present a new non-parametric estimator of the conditional density of the kernel type. It is based on an efficient transformation of the data by quantile transform. By use of the copula representation, it turns out to have a remarkable…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-06-13 Olivier P. Faugeras

We consider the problem to estimate the generalized cepstral coefficients of a stationary stochastic process or stationary multidimensional random field. It turns out that a naive version of the periodogram-based estimator for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Bin Zhu , Mattia Zorzi

We propose an algorithm for evaluation of the cumulative bivariate normal distribution, building upon Marsaglia's ideas for evaluation of the cumulative univariate normal distribution. The algorithm is mathematically transparent, delivers…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Christian Meyer

Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures, with weather and climate predictions being key examples.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Roman Schefzik , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Research on Poisson regression analysis for dependent data has been developed rapidly in the last decade. One of difficult problems in a multivariate case is how to construct a cross-correlation structure and at the meantime make sure that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-05 A'yunin Sofro , Jian Qing Shi , Chunzheng Cao

We provide an asymptotic linear representation for the Breslow estimator of the baseline cumulative hazard function in the Cox model. Our representation consists of an average of independent random variables and a term involving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Hendrik P. Lopuhaa , Gabriela F. Nane

In semivarying coefficient models for longitudinal/clustered data, usually of primary interest is usually the parametric component which involves unknown constant coefficients. First, we study semiparametric efficiency bound for estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Ming-Yen Cheng , Toshio Honda , Jialiang Li

We introduce a novel perspective by linking ordered probabilistic choice to copula theory, a mathematical framework for modeling dependencies in multivariate distributions. Each representation of ordered probabilistic choice behavior can be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-10 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Kemal Yildiz

Counterfactual explanations (CFE) are being widely used to explain algorithmic decisions, especially in consequential decision-making contexts (e.g., loan approval or pretrial bail). In this context, CFEs aim to provide individuals affected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Kiarash Mohammadi , Amir-Hossein Karimi , Gilles Barthe , Isabel Valera

A complete understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects involves characterizing the full conditional distribution of potential outcomes. To this end, we propose the Conditional Counterfactual Mean Embeddings (CCME), a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Thatchanon Anancharoenkij , Donlapark Ponnoprat

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

There are several estimators of conditional probability from observed frequencies of features. In this paper, we propose using the lower limit of confidence interval on posterior distribution determined by the observed frequencies to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Masato Kikuchi , Eiko Yamamoto , Mitsuo Yoshida , Masayuki Okabe , Kyoji Umemura

Let $\boldsymbol{X}\in \mathbb{R}^p$ and $Y\in \mathbb{R}$. In this paper we propose an estimator of the conditional covariance matrix, $\mathrm{Cov}(\mathbb{E}[\boldsymbol{X}\vert Y])$, in an inverse regression setting. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Sébastien Da Veiga , Jean-Michel Loubes , Maikol Solís

In this paper, we study the classification problem by estimating the conditional probability function of the given data. Different from the traditional expected risk estimation theory on empirical data, we calculate the probability via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Meng-Xian Zhu , Yuan-Hai Shao

We study nonparametric estimation of univariate cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) pertaining to data missing at random. The proposed estimators smooth the inverse probability weighted (IPW) empirical CDF with the Bernstein operator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Rihab Gharbi , Wissem Jedidi , Salah Khardani , Frédéric Ouimet

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

If error distribution has heteroscedasticity, it voliates the assumption of linear regression. Expectile regression is a powerful tool for estimating the conditional expectiles of a response variable in this setting. Since multiple levels…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Jinghang Lin , Yuan Huang , Shuangge Ma

We extend the varying coefficient functional linear model to the nonlinear model and propose a varying coefficient functional additive model. The proposed method can represent the relationship between functional predictors and a scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-27 Hidetoshi Matsui