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Related papers: Cumulative Conditional Expectation Index

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We study subordination of free convolutions. We prove that for free random variables $X,Y$ and a Borel function $f$ the conditional expectation $E_\varphi\left[ (z-X-f(X)Yf^*(X))^{-1}| X\right]$, is a resolvent again. This result allows…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Franz Lehner , Kamil Szpojankowski

When the copula of the conditional distribution of two random variables given a covariate does not depend on the value of the covariate, two conflicting intuitions arise about the best possible rate of convergence attainable by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-17 François Portier , Johan Segers

We tackle the natural question of whether it is possible to estimate conditional distributions via Sklar's theorem by separately estimating the conditional distributions of the underlying copula and the marginals. Working with so-called…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Kai Schärer , Wolfgang Trutschnig

In this paper, we propose a novel approach for estimating Archimedean copula generators in a conditional setting, incorporating endogenous variables. Our method allows for the evaluation of the impact of the different levels of covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Marie Michaelides , Hélène Cossette , Mathieu Pigeon

Integral representations for expectations of functions of a stable L\'evy process $X$ and its supremum $\bar X$ are derived. As examples, cumulative probability distribution functions (cpdf) of $X_T, \barX_T$, the joint cpdf of $X_T$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Svetlana Boyarchenko , Sergei Levendorskiĭ

The partial correlation coefficient is a commonly used measure to assess the conditional dependence between two random variables. We provide a thorough explanation of the partial copula, which is a natural generalization of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-13 Fabian Spanhel , Malte S. Kurz

In causal inference, estimating the average treatment effect is a central objective, and in the context of competing risks data, this effect can be quantified by the cause-specific cumulative incidence function (CIF) difference. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Yifei Tian , Ying Wu

Expectiles are statistical parameters which also provide a class of sublinear risk measures in finance. They are solutions of continuous optimization problems. The corresponding first order condition provides two different fixed point…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Thi Khanh Linh Ha , Andreas Heinrich Hamel , Daniel Kostner

Copulas allow to learn marginal distributions separately from the multivariate dependence structure (copula) that links them together into a density function. Vine factorizations ease the learning of high-dimensional copulas by constructing…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-19 David Lopez-Paz , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

This paper introduces the \textit{weighted partial copula} function for testing conditional independence. The proposed test procedure results from these two ingredients: (i) the test statistic is an explicit Cramer-von Mises transformation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Pascal Bianchi , Kevin Elgui , François Portier

In various fields of data science, researchers are often interested in estimating the ratio of conditional expectation functions (CEFR). Specifically in causal inference problems, it is sometimes natural to consider ratio-based treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-27 Kazuhiko Shinoda , Takahiro Hoshino

There has been considerable recent interest in estimating heterogeneous causal effects. In this paper, we study conditional average partial causal effects (CAPCE) to reveal the heterogeneity of causal effects with continuous treatment. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Yuta Kawakami , Manabu Kuroki , Jin Tian

We study the weak convergence of conditional empirical copula processes, when the conditioning event has a nonzero probability. The validity of several bootstrap schemes is stated, including the exchangeable bootstrap. We define general -…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Probability density estimation is a central task in statistics. Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 Nicolás Kuschinski , Richard Warr , Alejandro Jara

We consider projection methods for the estimation of the cumulative distribution function under interval censoring, case 1. Such censored data also known as current status data, arise when the only information available on the variable of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Elodie Brunel , Fabienne Comte

Conventional multiclass conditional probability estimation methods, such as Fisher's discriminate analysis and logistic regression, often require restrictive distributional model assumption. In this paper, a model-free estimation method is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-08-02 Tu Xu , Junhui Wang

In this paper, we propose simple estimation methods dedicated to a semiparametric family of bivariate copulas. These copulas can be simply estimated through the estimation of their univariate generating function. We take profit of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-04-04 Cécile Amblard , Stéphane Girard

We propose notions of calibration for probabilistic forecasts of general multivariate quantities. Probabilistic copula calibration is a natural analogue of probabilistic calibration in the univariate setting. It can be assessed empirically…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-30 Johanna F. Ziegel , Tilmann Gneiting

This paper focuses on estimating the coefficients and average partial effects of observed regressors in nonlinear panel data models with interactive fixed effects, using the common correlated effects (CCE) framework. The proposed two-step…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-27 Liang Chen , Minyuan Zhang

Take a random variable X with some finite exponential moments. Define an exponentially weighted expectation by E^t(f) = E(e^{tX}f)/E(e^{tX}) for admissible values of the parameter t. Denote the weighted expectation of X itself by r(t) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-07 Marton Balazs , Timo Seppalainen