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We introduce a new kind of likelihood function based on the sequence of moments of the data distribution. Both binned and unbinned data samples are discussed, and the multivariate case is also derived. Building on this approach we lay out…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-09 Sylvain Fichet

Sampling from a multimodal distribution is a fundamental and challenging problem in computational science and statistics. Among various approaches proposed for this task, one popular method is Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS). In this…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-07 Haoxuan Chen , Lexing Ying

This work explores a novel perspective on solving nonconvex and nonsmooth optimization problems by leveraging sampling based methods. Instead of treating the objective function purely through traditional (often deterministic) optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Nahom Seyoum , Haoxiang You

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

We consider systems of stochastic differential equations with multiple scales and small noise and assume that the coefficients of the equations are ergodic and stationary random fields. Our goal is to construct provably-efficient importance…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The experimental detection of multipartite entanglement usually requires a number of appropriately chosen local quantum measurements which are aligned with respect to a previously shared common reference frame. The latter, however, can be a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-04-02 Andreas Ketterer , Nikolai Wyderka , Otfried Gühne

We put forward a simple procedure for extracting dynamical information from Monte Carlo simulations, by appropriate matching of the short-time diffusion tensor with its infinite-dilution limit counterpart, which is supposed to be known.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-04 Sara Jabbari-Farouji , Emmanuel Trizac

We propose a fast potential splitting Markov Chain Monte Carlo method which costs $O(1)$ time each step for sampling from equilibrium distributions (Gibbs measures) corresponding to particle systems with singular interacting kernels. We…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-13 Lei Li , Zhenli Xu , Yue Zhao

In parallel with advances in microscale imaging techniques, the fields of biology and materials science have focused on precisely extracting particle properties based on their diffusion behavior. Although the majority of real-world…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-05-22 Kaito Takanami , Daisuke Taniguchi , Sawako Enoki , Masafumi Kuroda , Yasushi Okada , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Moment matching is an easy-to-implement and usually effective method to reduce variance of Monte Carlo simulation estimates. On the other hand, there is no guarantee that moment matching will always reduce simulation variance for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Xuan Liu

The discovery of events in time series can have important implications, such as identifying microlensing events in astronomical surveys, or changes in a patient's electrocardiogram. Current methods for identifying events require a sliding…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2009-01-22 Dan Preston , Pavlos Protopapas , Carla Brodley

We propose an anomaly detection method for multi-variate scientific data based on analysis of high-order joint moments. Using kurtosis as a reliable measure of outliers, we suggest that principal kurtosis vectors, by analogy to principal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Konduri Aditya , Hemanth Kolla , W. Philip Kegelmeyer , Timothy M. Shead , Julia Ling , Warren L. Davis

Shrinkage of large particles, either through depolymerisation (i.e. progressive shortening) or through fragmentation (breakage into smaller pieces) may be modelled by discrete equations, of Becker-D\''oring type, or by continuous ones. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Marie Doumic

We apply random matrix theory to study the impact of measurement uncertainty on dynamic mode decomposition. Specifically, when the measurements follow a normal probability density function, we show how the moments of that density propagate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 P. Algikar , P. Sharma , M. Netto , L. Mili

Theoretical results for importance sampling rely on the existence of certain moments of the importance weights, which are the ratios between the proposal and target densities. In particular, a finite variance ensures square root convergence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-31 Michael K. Pitt , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn

The problem to establish not only the asymptotic distribution results for statistical estimators but also the moment convergence of the estimators has been recognized as an important issue in advanced theories of statistics. One of the main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-02 Ilia Negri , Yoichi Nishiyama

We present a novel, generally applicable Monte Carlo algorithm for the simulation of fluid systems. Geometric transformations are used to identify clusters of particles in such a manner that every cluster move is accepted, irrespective of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jiwen Liu , Erik Luijten

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

A first-order, Monte Carlo ensemble method has been recently introduced for solving parabolic equations with random coefficients in [26], which is a natural synthesis of the ensemble-based, Monte Carlo sampling algorithm and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Yan Luo , Zhu Wang