English
Related papers

Related papers: On the Mathematics of the Jeffreys-Lindley Paradox

200 papers

The Jeffreys-Lindley paradox stands as the most profound divergence between frequentist and Bayesian approaches to hypothesis testing. Yet despite more than six decades of discussion, this paradox remains frequently misunderstood--even in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Miodrag M. Lovric

The Jeffreys-Lindley paradox displays how the use of a p-value (or number of standard deviations z) in a frequentist hypothesis test can lead to an inference that is radically different from that of a Bayesian hypothesis test in the form…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Robert D. Cousins

Jeffreys-Lindley paradox is a case where frequentist and Bayesian hypothesis testing methodologies contradict with each other. This has caused confusion among data analysts for selecting a methodology for their statistical inference tasks.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-03-20 Priyantha Wijayatunga

The Jeffreys-Lindley paradox exposes a rift between Bayesian and frequentist hypothesis testing that strikes at the heart of statistical inference. Contrary to what most current literature suggests, the paradox was central to the Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Eric-Jan Wagenmakers , Alexander Ly

This paper discusses the dual interpretation of the Jeffreys--Lindley's paradox associated with Bayesian posterior probabilities and Bayes factors, both as a differentiation between frequentist and Bayesian statistics and as a pointer to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Christian Robert

We consider the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox from an objective Bayesian perspective by attempting to find priors representing complete indifference to sample size in the problem. This means that we ensure that the prior for the unknown mean and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Andrew Fowlie

In 1957, Lindley published "A statistical paradox" in Biometrika, revealing a fundamental conflict between frequentist and Bayesian inference as sample size approaches infinity. We present a new paradox of a different kind: a conflict…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Miodrag M. Lovric

In many common situations, a Bayesian credible interval will be, given the same data, very similar to a frequentist confidence interval, and researchers will interpret these intervals in a similar fashion. However, no predictable similarity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

In the hypothesis testing framework, p-value is often computed to determine rejection of the null hypothesis or not. On the other hand, Bayesian approaches typically compute the posterior probability of the null hypothesis to evaluate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Guosheng Yin , Haolun Shi

The so-called Lindley paradox is a counterintuitive statistical effect where the Bayesian and frequentist approaches to hypothesis testing give radically different answers, depending on the choice of the prior distribution. In this paper we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-02-17 Camillo Mauri , Matteo G. A. Paris

We introduce a new class of priors for Bayesian hypothesis testing, which we name "cake priors". These priors circumvent Bartlett's paradox (also called the Jeffreys-Lindley paradox); the problem associated with the use of diffuse priors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-26 John T. Ormerod , Michael Stewart , Weichang Yu , Sarah E. Romanes

There are three principle paradigms of statistics: Bayesian, frequentist and information-based inference. Although these paradigms are in agreement in some contexts, the Lindley paradox describes a class of problems, models of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Colin H. LaMont , Paul A. Wiggins

It has long been known that for the comparison of pairwise nested models, a decision based on the Bayes factor produces a consistent model selector (in the frequentist sense). Here we go beyond the usual consistency for nested pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-21 George Casella , F. Javier Girón , M. Lina Martínez , Elías Moreno

The marginalization paradox involves a disagreement between two Bayesians who use two different procedures for calculating a posterior in the presence of an improper prior. We show that the argument used to justify the procedure of one of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Timothy C. Wallstrom

By using both, the weak-value formulation as well as the standard probabilistic approach, we analyze the Hardy's experiment introducing a complex and dimensionless parameter ($\epsilon$) which eliminates the assumption of complete…

General Physics · Physics 2025-08-12 Ivan Arraut

We consider a novel paradigm for Bayesian testing of hypotheses and Bayesian model comparison. Our alternative to the traditional construction of posterior probabilities that a given hypothesis is true or that the data originates from a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Kaniav Kamary , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Well known Simpson's paradox is puzzling and surprising for many, especially for the empirical researchers and users of statistics. However there is no surprise as far as mathematical details are concerned. A lot more is written about the…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

The two envelopes paradox is discussed. By calculating the conditional probability, we arrive at a conditional expectations which differs from existing results.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-22 R. A. Vazquez

Bertand's paradox is a fundamental problem in probability that casts doubt on the applicability of the indifference principle by showing that it may yield contradictory results, depending on the meaning assigned to "randomness". Jaynes…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-10-25 Alon Drory

It is possible to obtain a large Bayes Factor (BF) favoring the null hypothesis when both the null and alternative hypotheses have low likelihoods, and there are other hypotheses being ignored that are much more strongly supported by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-15 Michael Smithson
‹ Prev 1 2 3 10 Next ›