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Errors in applying regression models and wavelet filters used to analyze geophysical signals are discussed: (1) multidecadal natural oscillations (e.g. the quasi 60-year Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), North Atlantic Oscillation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-05-14 Nicola Scafetta

Atmosphere and ocean are coupled via air-sea interactions. The atmospheric conditions fuel the ocean circulation and its variability, but the extent to which ocean processes can affect the atmosphere at decadal time scales remains unclear.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-07-08 Navid C. Constantinou , Andrew McC. Hogg

The low-frequency variability of the $\delta^{18}$O recorded in ice cores (FK17 and TIR18) recently drilled at two different locations in Dronning Maud Land (Antarctica), is investigated using multi-taper spectral method and singular…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-07 Stéphane Vannitsem , David Docquier , Sarah Wauthy , Matthew Corkill , Jean-Louis Tison

We investigate whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. Several global surface temperature records since 1850 and records deduced from the orbits of the planets present very similar…

Geophysics · Physics 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta

The existing understanding of interglacial periods is that they are initiated by Milankovitch cycles enhanced by rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations. During interglacials, global temperature is also believed to be primarily…

General Physics · Physics 2014-09-11 Gerald E. Marsh

Turbulent reacting flows confined to ducts are plagued by thermoacoustic instability, a state in which a positive feedback between flow, flame and acoustic perturbations leads to the emergence of catastrophically high-amplitude oscillatory…

It is shown that the periodic alteration of night and day provides a chaotic dissipation mechanism for the North Atlantic (NAO) and Southern (SOI) climate oscillations. The wavelet regression detrended daily NAO index for last 60 years and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-07-20 A. Bershadskii

Convective self-aggregation is a modelling paradigm for thunderstorm organisation over a constant-temperature tropical sea surface. This setup can give rise to cloud clusters over timescales of weeks. In reality, sea surface temperatures do…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-04 Jan O. Haerter , Bettina Meyer , Silas Boye Nissen

Fluctuations and noise may alter the behavior of dynamical systems considerably. For example, oscillations may be sustained by demographic fluctuations in biological systems where a stable fixed point is found in the absence of noise. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-13 Richard P. Boland , Tobias Galla , Alan J. McKane

Recent analyses of helioseismological observations seem to suggest the presence of two new phenomena connected with the dynamics of the solar convective zone. Firstly, there are present torsional oscillations with periods of about 11 years,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Eurico Covas , Reza Tavakol , David Moss

We propose a model of the Earth's torqueless precession, the "Chandler wobble", as a self-oscillation driven by positive feedback between the wobble and the centrifugal deformation of the portion of the Earth's mass contained in circulating…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-09-21 Alejandro Jenkins

Climate variability over the past million years shows a strong glacial-interglacial cycle of ~100,000 years as a combined result of Milankovitch orbital forcing and climatic resonance. It has been suggested that anthropogenic contributions…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-07-24 Jacob Haqq-Misra

This study investigates the variability of the Central England Temperature (CET) series in relation to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) using advanced time series modeling techniques. Leveraging…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-20 Jiahe Ling

We build a conceptual coupled model of the climate and tidal evolution of the Earth-Moon system to find the influence of the former on the latter. An energy balance model is applied to calculate steady-state temperature field from the mean…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Nan Wang , Zhi-Guo He

Glacial cycles redistribute water between oceans and continents causing pressure changes in the upper mantle, with consequences for melting of Earth's interior. Using Plio-Pleistocene sea-level variations as a forcing function, theoretical…

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature for the past 400,000 years (Antarctic ice cores data) are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-24 A. Bershadskii

Atmospheric transient eddies and low-frequency flow contribution to the ocean surface wave climate in the North Atlantic during boreal winter is investigated (1980 - 2016). We conduct a set of numerical simulations with a state-of-the-art…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-10 Margarita Markina , Josh Studholme , Sergey Gulev

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a much studied component of the climate system, because its suspected multistability is associated with tipping behaviour yielding potentially large regional and global climatic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-24 Johannes Lohmann , Valerio Lucarini

Global climate changes are related to the ocean's store of carbon. We study a carbonate system of the upper ocean, which has metastable and oscillatory regimes, under small random fluctuations. We calculate the most probable transition path…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-15 Wei Wei , Jianyu Hu , Jianyu Chen , Jinqiao Duan

Recent work has provided ample evidence that nonlinear methods of time series analysis potentially allow for detecting periods of anomalous dynamics in paleoclimate proxy records that are otherwise hidden to classical statis- tical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-09-27 Jasper G. Franke , Reik V. Donner