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The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

We present a new concentration of measure inequality for sums of independent bounded random variables, which we name a split-kl inequality. The inequality is particularly well-suited for ternary random variables, which naturally show up in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-18 Yi-Shan Wu , Yevgeny Seldin

In this paper, we study moment and concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of sums of dependent random matrices. We establish novel Rosenthal-Burkholder inequalities for discrete-time matrix local martingales,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yang Peng , Yuchen Xin , Zhihua Zhang

An infinite urn scheme is defined by a probability mass function $(p_j)_{j\geq1}$ over positive integers. A random allocation consists of a sample of $N$ independent drawings according to this probability distribution where $N$ may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Anna Ben-Hamou , Stéphane Boucheron , Mesrob I. Ohannessian

We propose a new approach for deriving probabilistic inequalities based on bounding likelihood ratios. We demonstrate that this approach is more general and powerful than the classical method frequently used for deriving concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Xinjia Chen

We obtain a Bernstein type Gaussian concentration inequality for martingales. Our inequality improves the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for moderate deviations $x$. Following the work of McDiarmid (1989), Talagrand (1996) and Boucheron, Lugosi…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Xiequan Fan

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

This work obtains sharp closed-form exponential concentration inequalities of Bernstein type for the ubiquitous beta distribution, improving upon sub-gaussian and sub-gamma bounds previously studied in this context. The proof leverages a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Maciej Skorski

A central problem in Binary Hypothesis Testing (BHT) is to determine the optimal tradeoff between the Type I error (referred to as false alarm) and Type II (referred to as miss) error. In this context, the exponential rate of convergence of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Sebastian Espinosa , Jorge F. Silva , Pablo Piantanida

We obtain a Bernstein-type inequality for sums of Banach-valued random variables satisfying a weak dependence assumption of general type and under certain smoothness assumptions of the underlying Banach norm. We use this inequality in order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Gilles Blanchard , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

Given $n$ samples from a population of individuals belonging to different types with unknown proportions, how do we estimate the probability of discovering a new type at the $(n+1)$-th draw? This is a classical problem in statistics,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-27 Fadhel Ayed , Marco Battiston , Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro

Li and Hu recently established variance-type O(1/n) bounds for the sample mean of independent random vectors under sublinear expectations. We extend their results to the exponential concentration regime. For bounded, independent R^d-valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Nahom Seyoum

In this article we present a Bernstein inequality for sums of random variables which are defined on a graphical network whose nodes grow at an exponential rate. The inequality can be used to derive concentration inequalities in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Johannes T. N. Krebs

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

We study concentration inequalities for structured weighted sums of random data, including (i) tensor inner products and (ii) sequential matrix sums. We are interested in tail bounds and concentration inequalities for those structured…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-11 Chen Cheng , Rina Foygel Barber

Group-invariant probability distributions appear in many data-generative models in machine learning, such as graphs, point clouds, and images. In practice, one often needs to estimate divergences between such distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Behrooz Tahmasebi , Stefanie Jegelka

New Vapnik and Chervonenkis type concentration inequalities are derived for the empirical distribution of an independent random sample. Focus is on the maximal deviation over classes of Borel sets within a low probability region. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-26 Stéphane Lhaut , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

This work presents several expected generalization error bounds based on the Wasserstein distance. More specifically, it introduces full-dataset, single-letter, and random-subset bounds, and their analogues in the randomized subsample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-29 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

This paper introduces a new approach to the study of rates of convergence for posterior distributions. It is a natural extension of a recent approach to the study of Bayesian consistency. In particular, we improve on current rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Stephen G. Walker , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster