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In this paper, we study a subclass of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes with a Polish state space, involving deterministic motion punctuated by random jumps that occur at exponentially distributed time intervals. Over each of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Dawid Czapla , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We develop a theory of generalist predation showing how alternative prey species are affected by changes in both mean abundance and variability (coefficient of variation) of their predator's primary prey. The theory is motivated by the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-05-13 Frederic Barraquand , Leslie F. New , Stephen Redpath , Jason Matthiopoulos

This document is due to appear as a chapter of the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) by S. Sisson, L. Fan, and M. Beaumont. Here we describe some of the circumstances under which statistical ecologists might…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-10 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood

For a class of piecewise deterministic Markov processes, the supports of the invariant measures are characterized. This is based on the analysis of controllability properties of an associated deterministic control system. Its invariant…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-05 Michel Benaïm , Fritz Colonius , Lettau Ralph

We present recent results on Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs), involved in biological modeling. PDMPs, first introduced in the probabilistic literature by Davis (1984), are a very general class of Markov processes and are…

Irreversible and rejection-free Monte Carlo methods, recently developed in Physics under the name Event-Chain and known in Statistics as Piecewise Deterministic Monte Carlo (PDMC), have proven to produce clear acceleration over standard…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-28 Manon Michel , Alain Durmus , Stéphane Sénécal

In this paper, we develop an ensemble-based time-stepping algorithm to efficiently find numerical solutions to a group of linear, second-order parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs). Particularly, the PDE models in the group could…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Yan Luo , Zhu Wang

Systems whose time evolutions are entirely deterministic can nevertheless be studied probabilistically, i.e. in terms of the evolution of probability distributions rather than individual trajectories. This approach is central to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-06 S. Richard Taylor

Statistical modelling of spatial extreme events has gained increasing attention over the last few decades with max-stable processes, and more recently $r$-Pareto processes, becoming the reference tools for the statistical analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Peng Zhong , Scott A. Sisson , Boris Beranger

In the last years, predator-prey systems have increased their applications and have given rise to systems which represent more accurately different biological issues that appear in the context of interacting species. Our aim in this paper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Érika Diz-Pita , M. Victoria Otero-Espinar

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

This paper reframes approachability theory within the context of population games. Thus, whilst one player aims at driving her average payoff to a predefined set, her opponent is not malevolent but rather extracted randomly from a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Dario Bauso , Thomas W L Norman

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

We consider a population, partitioned into a set of communities, and study the problem of identifying the largest community within the population via sequential, random sampling of individuals. There are multiple sampling domains, referred…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Shubham Anand Jain , Shreyas Goenka , Divyam Bapna , Nikhil Karamchandani , Jayakrishnan Nair

We introduce a broad class of spatial models to describe how spatially heterogeneous populations live, die, and reproduce. Individuals are represented by points of a point measure, whose birth and death rates can depend both on spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz , Ian Letter , Peter L. Ralph , Terence Tsui Ho Lung

We develop a mathematical model of extinction and coexistence in a generic predator-prey ecosystem composed of two herbivores in asymmetrical competition and a hunter exerting a predatory pressure on both species. With the aim of…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-08-28 Marcelo N Kuperman , Fabiana Laguna , Guillermo Abramson , Adrian Monjeau. Jose Luis Lanata

Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

This paper treats a random collision model of three species, which is represented by the random time change of three standard Poisson processes. The prey-predator relation in the random collision model looks like paper-scissors-stone game,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Yasunori Okabe , Hajime Mano , Yoshiaki Itoh

We give a general result concerning the rates of convergence of penalized empirical risk minimizers (PERM) in the regression model. Then, we consider the problem of agnostic learning of the regression, and give in this context an oracle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 S. Gaïffas , G. Lecué

Recently several authors have proposed stochastic evolutionary models for the growth of complex networks that give rise to power-law distributions. These models are based on the notion of preferential attachment leading to the ``rich get…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou
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