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In a meta-analysis, it is important to specify a model that adequately describes the effect-size distribution of the underlying population of studies. The conventional normal fixed-effect and normal random-effects models assume a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-21 George Karabatsos , Elizabeth Talbott , Stephen G. Walker

Extreme value theory (EVT) provides an elegant mathematical tool for the statistical analysis of rare events. When data are collected from multiple population subgroups, because some subgroups may have less data available for extreme value…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Koki Momoki , Takuma Yoshida

We propose a method for nonparametric density estimation that exhibits robustness to contamination of the training sample. This method achieves robustness by combining a traditional kernel density estimator (KDE) with ideas from classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-09-07 JooSeuk Kim , Clayton D. Scott

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

In settings where both spurious and causal predictors are available, standard neural networks trained under the objective of empirical risk minimization (ERM) with no additional inductive biases tend to have a dependence on a spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Louis McConnell

We consider a class of systems with time-varying parameters, which are written as linear regressions with bounded disturbances. The task is to estimate such parameters under the condition that the regressor is finitely exciting (FE).…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-24 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

Random-effects meta-analyses are very commonly used in medical statistics. Recent methodological developments include multivariate (multiple outcomes) and network (multiple treatments) meta-analysis. Here we provide a new model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz , Martin Law , Richard D Riley , Ian White

The gmwm R package for inference on time series models is mainly based on the quantity called wavelet variance which is derived from a wavelet decomposition of a time series. This quantity provides a means to summarize and graphically…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-18 James Balamuta , Roberto Molinari , Stéphane Guerrier , Wenchao Yang

The nested error regression model is a useful tool for analyzing clustered (grouped) data, and is especially used in small area estimation. The classical nested error regression model assumes normality of random effects and error terms, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Standard machine learning models optimized for average performance often fail on minority subgroups and lack robustness to distribution shifts. This challenge worsens when subgroups are latent and affected by complex interactions among…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Siqi Li , Molei Liu , Ziye Tian , Chuan Hong , Nan Liu

The construction of computer models (mathematical models implemented in computer codes), with respect to observed phenomena, is usually undertaken by building different variants depending on modeller sensibility, and choosing the one…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Filippo Monari

In this paper, we propose self-tuned robust estimators for estimating the mean of heavy-tailed distributions, which refer to distributions with only finite variances. Our approach introduces a new loss function that considers both the mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-25 Qiang Sun

In high-energy physics, with the search for ever smaller signals in ever larger data sets, it has become essential to extract a maximum of the available information from the data. Multivariate classification methods based on machine…

With the wide adoption of machine learning techniques, requirements have evolved beyond sheer high performance, often requiring models to be trustworthy. A common approach to increase the trustworthiness of such systems is to allow them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrea Pugnana , Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

Regression methods assume that accurate labels are available for training. However, in certain scenarios, obtaining accurate labels may not be feasible, and relying on multiple specialists with differing opinions becomes necessary. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-15 Milene Regina dos Santos , Rafael Izbicki

Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

Logistic regression is an important statistical tool for assessing the probability of an outcome based upon some predictive variables. Standard methods can only deal with precisely known data, however many datasets have uncertainties which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-09 Nicholas Gray , Scott Ferson

A common problem in health research is that we have a large database with many variables measured on a large number of individuals. We are interested in measuring additional variables on a subsample; these measurements may be newly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Thomas Lumley , Tong Chen

Variance estimation is a fundamental problem in statistical modeling. In ultrahigh dimensional linear regressions where the dimensionality is much larger than sample size, traditional variance estimation techniques are not applicable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-27 Jianqing Fan , Shaojun Guo , Ning Hao
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