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We consider the problem of estimating the conditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator where the conditioning is on the selected model. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher

After a machine learning (ML)-based system is deployed, monitoring its performance is important to ensure the safety and effectiveness of the algorithm over time. When an ML algorithm interacts with its environment, the algorithm can affect…

High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-16 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

Suppose one has a collection of parameters indexed by a (possibly infinite dimensional) set. Given data generated from some distribution, the objective is to estimate the maximal parameter in this collection evaluated at this distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-26 Alexander R. Luedtke , Mark J. van der Laan

There is a growing interest in the estimation of the number of unseen features, mostly driven by biological applications. A recent work brought out a peculiar property of the popular completely random measures (CRMs) as prior models in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Federico Camerlenghi , Stefano Favaro , Lorenzo Masoero , Tamara Broderick

This paper studies the properties of debiased machine learning (DML) estimators under a novel asymptotic framework, offering insights for improving the performance of these estimators in applications. DML is an estimation method suited to…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-05 Amilcar Velez

Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation encompasses a group of classic methods to estimate distribution-associated functions from potentially censored and truncated data, with extensive applications in survival analysis. These methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-05 Justin D. Tubbs , Lane Guolan Chen , Thuan Quoc Thach , Pak C. Sham

We analyze the statistical performance of identification of stochastic dynamical systems with non-linear measurement sensors. This includes stochastic Wiener systems, with linear dynamics, process noise and measured by a non-linear sensor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Bo Wahlberg , Lennart Ljung

Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

In the context of a species sampling problem we discuss a non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator for the underlying probability mass function. The estimator is known in the computer science literature as the high profile estimator. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Dragi Anevski , Richard D. Gill , Stefan Zohren

We investigate the theoretical performances of the Partial Least Square (PLS) algorithm in a high dimensional context. We provide upper bounds on the risk in prediction for the statistical linear model when considering the PLS estimator.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Luca Castelli , Irène Gannaz , Clément Marteau

We study the excess mean square error (EMSE) above the minimum mean square error (MMSE) in large linear systems where the posterior mean estimator (PME) is evaluated with a postulated prior that differs from the true prior of the input…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Yanting Ma , Dror Baron , Ahmad Beirami

We propose a statistical framework for the problem of parameter estimation from a noisy optomechanical system. The Cram\'er-Rao lower bound on the estimation errors in the long-time limit is derived and compared with the errors of…

Optics · Physics 2013-10-31 Shan Zheng Ang , Glen I. Harris , Warwick P. Bowen , Mankei Tsang

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

Detecting influential features in non-linear and/or high-dimensional data is a challenging and increasingly important task in machine learning. Variable selection methods have thus been gaining much attention as well as post-selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Tobias Freidling , Benjamin Poignard , Héctor Climente-González , Makoto Yamada

Selecting important spatial-dependent variables under the nonhomogeneous spatial Poisson process model is an important topic of great current interest. In this paper, we use the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) and Logarithm of the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-16 Guanyu Hu , Fred Huffer , Ming-Hui Chen

A lower bound is an important tool for predicting the performance that an estimator can achieve under a particular statistical model. Bayesian bounds are a kind of such bounds which not only utilizes the observation statistics but also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Shuo Tang , Gerald LaMountain , Tales Imbiriba , Pau Closas

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter estimation for complex stochastic models with intractable likelihoods when model simulation is feasible. Neural posterior estimation (NPE) is a popular SBI approach that often achieves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Ryan P. Kelly , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Christopher C. Drovandi

This paper presents a distributed estimator for a deterministic parametric physical field sensed by a homogeneous sensor network and develops a new transformed expression for the Cramer-Rao lower bound (CRLB) on the variance of distributed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Salvatore Talarico , Natalia A. Schmid , Marwan Alkhweldi , Matthew C. Valenti