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With the emergence and spread of infectious diseases with pandemic potential, such as COVID- 19, the urgency for vaccine development have led to unprecedented compressed and accelerated schedules that shortened the standard development…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

We consider a quantum system that is being continuously monitored, giving rise to a measurement signal. From such a stream of data, information needs to be inferred about the underlying system's dynamics. Here we focus on hypothesis testing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Giulio Gasbarri , Matias Bilkis , Elisabet Roda-Salichs , John Calsamiglia

Post-market safety surveillance is an integral part of mass vaccination programs. Typically relying on sequential analysis of real-world health data as they accrue, safety surveillance is challenged by the difficulty of sequential multiple…

In this paper, we propose an optimal sequential procedure for the early detection of potential side effects resulting from the administration of some treatment (e.g. a vaccine, say). The results presented here extend previous results…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Jiayue Wang , Ben Boukai

This work considers the problem of detecting signals from multiple sequentially observed data streams, where only one stream can be observed at every time instant. The goal is to detect signals as quickly as possible while controlling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Yiming Xing , Georgios Fellouris

The problem of sequential anomaly detection is considered, where multiple data sources are monitored in real time and the goal is to identify the "anomalous" ones among them, when it is not possible to sample all sources at all times. A…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

The primary analysis in two-arm clinical trials usually involves inference on a scalar treatment effect parameter; e.g., depending on the outcome, the difference of treatment-specific means, risk difference, risk ratio, or odds ratio. Most…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Anastasios A. Tsiatis , Marie Davidian

Many control and detection applications require real-time analysis of signals from sensors, in order to quickly and accurately act upon events revealed by the sensors. Such signal analysis benefits from statistical models of signal and…

Real-time online object tracking in videos constitutes a core task in computer vision, with wide-ranging applications including video surveillance, motion capture, and robotics. Deployed tracking systems usually lack formal safety…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Alejandro Monroy Muñoz , Rajeev Verma , Alexander Timans

Continuous-time event sequences, i.e., sequences consisting of continuous time stamps and associated event types ("marks"), are an important type of sequential data with many applications, e.g., in clinical medicine or user behavior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-17 Alex Boyd , Yuxin Chang , Stephan Mandt , Padhraic Smyth

We consider the problem of quickly detecting a signal in a sensor network when the subset of sensors in which signal may be present is completely unknown. We formulate this problem as a sequential hypothesis testing problem with a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander Tartakovsky

The problem of sequential anomaly detection and identification is considered, where multiple data sources are simultaneously monitored and the goal is to identify in real time those, if any, that exhibit ``anomalous" statistical behavior.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-09 Aristomenis Tsopelakos , Georgios Fellouris

Likelihood methods for measuring statistical evidence obey the likelihood principle while maintaining bounded and well-controlled frequency properties. These methods lend themselves to sequential study designs because they measure the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-07 Jeffrey D Blume , Leena Choi

We consider the sequential anomaly detection problem in the one-class setting when only the anomalous sequences are available and propose an adversarial sequential detector by solving a minimax problem to find an optimal detector against…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-07 Shixiang Zhu , Henry Shaowu Yuchi , Minghe Zhang , Yao Xie

In a typical Event-Based Surveillance setting, a stream of web documents is continuously monitored for disease reporting. A structured representation of the disease reporting events is extracted from the raw text, and the events are then…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2011-01-05 Avaré Stewar , Ricardo Lage , Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Peter Dolog

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

We consider the problem of sequential change detection, where the goal is to design a scheme for detecting any changes in a parameter or functional $\theta$ of the data stream distribution that has small detection delay, but guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas

Sequential tests and their implied confidence sequences, which are valid at arbitrary stopping times, promise flexible statistical inference and on-the-fly decision making. However, strong guarantees are limited to parametric sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Aurelien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus , Michael Lindon

Sequential monitoring in clinical trials is often employed to allow for early stopping and other interim decisions, while maintaining the type I error rate. However, sequential monitoring is typically described only in the context of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-29 Victoria Plamadeala , William F. Rosenberger

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah
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