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In this study, we focus on the development and implementation of a comprehensive ensemble of numerical time series forecasting models, collectively referred to as the Group of Numerical Time Series Prediction Model (G-NM). This inclusive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Juyoung Yun

Signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) play a crucial role in various statistical models, with important applications in tasks such as estimating heritability in genomics. The method-of-moments estimator is a widely used approach for estimating SNR,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Xiaohan Hu , Zhentao Li , Xiaodong Li

Complex statistical models such as scalar-on-image regression often require strong assumptions to overcome the issue of non-identifiability. While in theory it is well understood that model assumptions can strongly influence the results,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Clara Happ , Sonja Greven , Volker J. Schmid

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are widely used in observational studies to estimate the causal effect of time-varying treatments. Despite its popularity, limited attention has been paid to summarizing the treatment history in the outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Jiewen Liu , Todd A. Miano , Stephen Griffiths , Michael G. S. Shashaty , Wei Yang

Undirected graphical models are a key component in the analysis of complex observational data in a large variety of disciplines. In many of these applications one is interested in estimating the undirected graphical model underlying a…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-21 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Inferring time-varying networks is important to understand the development and evolution of interactions over time. However, the vast majority of currently used models assume direct measurements of node states, which are often difficult to…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-06 Xin Wang , Ke Yuan , Christoph Hellmayr , Wei Liu , Florian Markowetz

Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Chris Kolb , Nadja Klein

Structural Causal Models (SCMs) offer a principled framework to reason about interventions and support out-of-distribution generalization, which are key goals in scientific discovery. However, the task of learning SCMs from observed data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Divyat Mahajan , Jannes Gladrow , Agrin Hilmkil , Cheng Zhang , Meyer Scetbon

The cumulative incidence is the probability of failure from the cause of interest over a certain time period in the presence of other risks. A semiparametric regression model proposed by Fine and Gray (1999) has become the method of choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin

The network scale-up method (NSUM) is a cost-effective approach to estimating the size or prevalence of a group of people that is hard to reach through a standard survey. The basic NSUM involves two steps: estimating respondents' degrees by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jessica P. Kunke , Ian Laga , Xiaoyue Niu , Tyler H. McCormick

We combine Bayesian networks (BNs) and structural reliability methods (SRMs) to create a new computational framework, termed enhanced Bayesian network (eBN), for reliability and risk analysis of engineering structures and infrastructure.…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-28 Daniel Straub , Armen Der Kiureghian

Assessing the causal effect of time-varying exposures on recurrent event processes is challenging in the presence of a terminating event. Our objective is to estimate both the short-term and delayed marginal causal effects of exposures on…

Structural equation models (SEMs) have been widely adopted for inference of causal interactions in complex networks. Recent examples include unveiling topologies of hidden causal networks over which processes such as spreading diseases, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-05 Yanning Shen , Brian Baingana , Georgios B. Giannakis

Network embedding is aimed at mapping nodes in a network into low-dimensional vector representations. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have received widespread attention and lead to state-of-the-art performance in learning node representations.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Junjie Huang , Huawei Shen , Liang Hou , Xueqi Cheng

We consider mediated effects of an exposure, X on an outcome, Y, via a mediator, M, under no unmeasured confounding assumptions in the setting where models for the conditional expectation of the mediator and outcome are partially linear. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Oliver Hines , Stijn Vansteelandt , Karla Diaz-Ordaz

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) as Machine Learning (ML) models have recently received a lot of attention as a potentially more energy-efficient alternative to conventional Artificial Neural Networks. The non-differentiability and sparsity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Maximilian Gollwitzer , Felix Dietrich

Mathematical models are an important tool for neuroscientists. During the last thirty years many papers have appeared on single neuron description and specifically on stochastic Integrate and Fire models. Analytical results have been proved…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-31 Laura Sacerdote , Maria Teresa Giraudo

Finite-sample bias is a pervasive challenge in the estimation of structural equation models (SEMs), especially when sample sizes are small or measurement reliability is low. A range of methods have been proposed to improve finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-30 Haziq Jamil , Yves Rosseel , Oliver Kemp , Ioannis Kosmidis

Structural failure time models are causal models for estimating the effect of time-varying treatments on a survival outcome. G-estimation and artificial censoring have been proposed to estimate the model parameters in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Shu Yang , Karen Pieper , Frank Cools

Structural equation models comprise a large class of popular statistical models, including factor analysis models, certain mixed models, and extensions thereof. Model estimation is complicated by the fact that we typically have multiple…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-18 Edgar C. Merkle , Ellen Fitzsimmons , James Uanhoro , Ben Goodrich